OpenAI's confidential SEC filing and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 IPO anchor current trader sentiment, with private valuations reaching $852 billion following the March 2026 funding round. Revenue from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage continues to scale rapidly, yet the company reports significant operating losses that introduce uncertainty around sustainable margins and competitive positioning against Anthropic and Google. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, spreading probability across $1.25–2.0 trillion ranges due to variable IPO timing, potential valuation uplifts from AI demand, and broader tech sector multiples. Key upcoming catalysts include any public updates on banker engagements or earnings trends that could shift the implied probability distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.1%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 16.3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$61,506 Vol.
$61,506 Vol.
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
22%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
4%
$2.5T+
6%
$1.25T–$1.5T 22.1%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.5T–$1.75T 16.3%
$1.0T–$1.25T 14%
$61,506 Vol.
$61,506 Vol.
<$1T
8%
$1.0T–$1.25T
14%
$1.25T–$1.5T
22%
$1.5T–$1.75T
16%
$1.75T–$2.0T
18%
$2.0T–$2.25T
6%
$2.25T–$2.5T
4%
$2.5T+
6%
The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: May 21, 2026, 1:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered.
Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered.
If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range.
If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI's confidential SEC filing and preparations for a potential late-2026 or 2027 IPO anchor current trader sentiment, with private valuations reaching $852 billion following the March 2026 funding round. Revenue from ChatGPT subscriptions and API usage continues to scale rapidly, yet the company reports significant operating losses that introduce uncertainty around sustainable margins and competitive positioning against Anthropic and Google. Market-implied odds reflect this balance, spreading probability across $1.25–2.0 trillion ranges due to variable IPO timing, potential valuation uplifts from AI demand, and broader tech sector multiples. Key upcoming catalysts include any public updates on banker engagements or earnings trends that could shift the implied probability distribution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update


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