Recent median sales prices in the Austin metro have clustered between $426,000 and $450,000 through mid-2026, reflecting a prolonged post-2022 correction of roughly 20-25% amid elevated inventory and a shift to a buyer’s market. This data trajectory, combined with modest year-over-year gains or flat-to-declining trends in several reports, underpins trader consensus around the sub-$446K outcome at 60.5% implied probability, with the $446K–$454K bin capturing residual stabilization expectations. Macro factors such as higher mortgage rates and subdued demand continue to weigh on valuations, while forecasts point to limited near-term appreciation. September 30 resolution will hinge on final MLS or index releases, with any late-quarter volume shifts or interest-rate developments as key swing variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<$446K 61%
$446K - $454K 30%
$454K - $462K 10%
$470K - $478K 1.8%
$56,107 Vol.
$56,107 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$446K
61%
$446K - $454K
30%
$454K - $462K
10%
$462K - $470K
2%
$470K - $478K
2%
$478K - $486K
1%
$486K+
1%
<$446K 61%
$446K - $454K 30%
$454K - $462K 10%
$470K - $478K 1.8%
$56,107 Vol.
$56,107 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$446K
$11,249 Vol.
61%
$446K - $454K
$13,583 Vol.
30%
$454K - $462K
$5,314 Vol.
10%
$462K - $470K
$4,221 Vol.
2%
$470K - $478K
$11,042 Vol.
2%
$478K - $486K
$2,894 Vol.
1%
$486K+
$7,804 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent median sales prices in the Austin metro have clustered between $426,000 and $450,000 through mid-2026, reflecting a prolonged post-2022 correction of roughly 20-25% amid elevated inventory and a shift to a buyer’s market. This data trajectory, combined with modest year-over-year gains or flat-to-declining trends in several reports, underpins trader consensus around the sub-$446K outcome at 60.5% implied probability, with the $446K–$454K bin capturing residual stabilization expectations. Macro factors such as higher mortgage rates and subdued demand continue to weigh on valuations, while forecasts point to limited near-term appreciation. September 30 resolution will hinge on final MLS or index releases, with any late-quarter volume shifts or interest-rate developments as key swing variables.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ET
Volume
$56,107Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)Recent median sales prices in the Austin metro have clustered between $426,000 and $450,000 through mid-2026, reflecting a prolonged post-2022 correction of roughly 20-25% amid elevated inventory and a shift to a buyer’s market. This data trajectory, combined with modest year-over-year gains or flat-to-declining trends in several reports, underpins trader consensus around the sub-$446K outcome at 60.5% implied probability, with the $446K–$454K bin capturing residual stabilization expectations. Macro factors such as higher mortgage rates and subdued demand continue to weigh on valuations, while forecasts point to limited near-term appreciation. September 30 resolution will hinge on final MLS or index releases, with any late-quarter volume shifts or interest-rate developments as key swing variables.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/51)
Volume
$56,107Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent median sales prices in the Austin metro have clustered between $426,000 and $450,000 through mid-2026, reflecting a prolonged post-2022 correction of roughly 20-25% amid elevated inventory and a shift to a buyer’s market. This data trajectory, combined with modest year-over-year gains or flat-to-declining trends in several reports, underpins trader consensus around the sub-$446K outcome at 60.5% implied probability, with the $446K–$454K bin capturing residual stabilization expectations. Macro factors such as higher mortgage rates and subdued demand continue to weigh on valuations, while forecasts point to limited near-term appreciation. September 30 resolution will hinge on final MLS or index releases, with any late-quarter volume shifts or interest-rate developments as key swing variables.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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