Recent U.S. housing data position the sub-$419,000 bin as the market leader, with August median list prices at $424,500 reflecting a 1.3% year-over-year decline and median sale prices ranging from roughly $398,600 (Redfin) to $429,100 (NAR existing homes). Rising inventory, up 2.7–3.6% year-over-year, and regional price softening in the Northeast, South, and West have tempered appreciation, while Zillow’s typical home value index sits near $368,700 with only 1.2% annual growth projected. With September 30 resolution imminent, these fundamentals—modest price momentum amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.7%—support trader consensus on limited upside in the final week.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<$419K 63.7%
$419K - $426K 30.4%
$454K+ <1%
$426K - $433K <1%
$92,957 Vol.
$92,957 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
<$419K
64%
$419K - $426K
30%
$426K - $433K
1%
$433K - $440K
<1%
$440K - $447K
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454K+
1%
<$419K 63.7%
$419K - $426K 30.4%
$454K+ <1%
$426K - $433K <1%
$92,957 Vol.
$92,957 Vol.
Oct 10, 2026
<$419K
$28,121 Vol.
64%
$419K - $426K
$21,462 Vol.
30%
$426K - $433K
$11,962 Vol.
1%
$433K - $440K
$18,409 Vol.
<1%
$440K - $447K
$5,674 Vol.
<1%
$447K - $454K
$5,528 Vol.
<1%
$454K+
$1,802 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent U.S. housing data position the sub-$419,000 bin as the market leader, with August median list prices at $424,500 reflecting a 1.3% year-over-year decline and median sale prices ranging from roughly $398,600 (Redfin) to $429,100 (NAR existing homes). Rising inventory, up 2.7–3.6% year-over-year, and regional price softening in the Northeast, South, and West have tempered appreciation, while Zillow’s typical home value index sits near $368,700 with only 1.2% annual growth projected. With September 30 resolution imminent, these fundamentals—modest price momentum amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.7%—support trader consensus on limited upside in the final week.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$92,957Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Recent U.S. housing data position the sub-$419,000 bin as the market leader, with August median list prices at $424,500 reflecting a 1.3% year-over-year decline and median sale prices ranging from roughly $398,600 (Redfin) to $429,100 (NAR existing homes). Rising inventory, up 2.7–3.6% year-over-year, and regional price softening in the Northeast, South, and West have tempered appreciation, while Zillow’s typical home value index sits near $368,700 with only 1.2% annual growth projected. With September 30 resolution imminent, these fundamentals—modest price momentum amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.7%—support trader consensus on limited upside in the final week.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volume
$92,957Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 11, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. housing data position the sub-$419,000 bin as the market leader, with August median list prices at $424,500 reflecting a 1.3% year-over-year decline and median sale prices ranging from roughly $398,600 (Redfin) to $429,100 (NAR existing homes). Rising inventory, up 2.7–3.6% year-over-year, and regional price softening in the Northeast, South, and West have tempered appreciation, while Zillow’s typical home value index sits near $368,700 with only 1.2% annual growth projected. With September 30 resolution imminent, these fundamentals—modest price momentum amid elevated mortgage rates around 6.7%—support trader consensus on limited upside in the final week.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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