Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWhat will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be on May 31?
1.18 - 1.187m 25%
1.173 - 1.18m 20%
1.194 - 1.209m 17%
1.166 - 1.173m 13%
<1.166m
11%
1.166 - 1.173m
13%
1.173 - 1.18m
20%
1.18 - 1.187m
25%
1.187 - 1.194m
53%
1.194 - 1.209m
17%
>1.209m
6%
1.18 - 1.187m 25%
1.173 - 1.18m 20%
1.194 - 1.209m 17%
1.166 - 1.173m 13%
<1.166m
11%
1.166 - 1.173m
13%
1.173 - 1.18m
20%
1.18 - 1.187m
25%
1.187 - 1.194m
53%
1.194 - 1.209m
17%
>1.209m
6%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Binuksan ang Market: May 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Los Angeles Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2900078). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 1900 square feet, which is the median home size in the Los Angeles Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/32)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent housing market data and stable mortgage rates around 6.15% have positioned the 1.187–1.194 million bin as the consensus favorite in this Los Angeles Metro median home value market, with implied probability at 52.5%. Modest month-over-month gains in typical home values, coupled with rising inventory that has tempered buyer competition, underpin trader positioning near current levels while the 45.5% probability on outcomes above 1.209 million reflects ongoing demand from high-income households and limited new supply. With resolution just weeks away, sentiment hinges on May sales volume and any final shifts in Treasury yields or regional employment figures that could nudge valuations across the narrow thresholds separating the leading outcomes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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