Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update<$419K 55.3%
$419K - $426K 31.5%
$426K - $433K 4.5%
$433K - $440K 2.1%
$54,055 Vol.
$54,055 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$419K
55%
$419K - $426K
32%
$426K - $433K
4%
$433K - $440K
2%
$440K - $447K
<1%
$447K - $454K
<1%
$454K+
<1%
<$419K 55.3%
$419K - $426K 31.5%
$426K - $433K 4.5%
$433K - $440K 2.1%
$54,055 Vol.
$54,055 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$419K
$16,710 Vol.
55%
$419K - $426K
$11,032 Vol.
32%
$426K - $433K
$5,739 Vol.
4%
$433K - $440K
$12,353 Vol.
2%
$440K - $447K
$3,627 Vol.
<1%
$447K - $454K
$4,053 Vol.
<1%
$454K+
$542 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$54,055Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on September 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on September 30, 2026. If no data for September 30 is released by October 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/49)
Volume
$54,055Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 30, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 1, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elevated mortgage rates near 6.5-6.7% continue to weigh on buyer affordability and demand, anchoring trader sentiment toward the <$419K and $419K-$426K buckets for the September 30 U.S. median home value. Recent data show mixed but generally subdued trends, with Redfin reporting a June median sale price of $408,776 and FRED's Q2 2026 median sales price at $410,700, amid flat-to-soft year-over-year growth in several indices. Thin inventory supports a floor while softer sales and price moderation in listings reflect the rate environment's drag. The upcoming September FOMC meeting represents a key catalyst that could influence near-term rate expectations and final pricing dynamics before resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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