Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and follow-on technical talks in Switzerland on June 21–22, which produced a 60-day roadmap toward a comprehensive US-Iran agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and Lebanon deconfliction mechanisms. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan have facilitated progress, including Iran’s reported commitment to resume IAEA inspections and US preparations for temporary sanctions waivers. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi both described the initial sessions as constructive, setting the stage for additional negotiating rounds or working groups before the mid-August target. These verified steps, alongside the extended ceasefire framework, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any further talks by the August 31 deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWho will attend a round of US-Iran peace by August 31?
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
74%
Steve Witkoff
72%
Masoud Pezeshkian
72%
Jared Kushner
72%
Abbas Araghchi
72%
J.D. Vance
72%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
51%
Donald Trump
51%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
51%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
51%
Marco Rubio
51%
Kazem Gharibabadi
51%
Ishaq Dar
51%
Pete Hegseth
49%
Rafael Grossi
49%
Esmail Qaani
24%
Ahmad Vahidi
9%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
$0.00 Vol.
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
74%
Steve Witkoff
72%
Masoud Pezeshkian
72%
Jared Kushner
72%
Abbas Araghchi
72%
J.D. Vance
72%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
51%
Donald Trump
51%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
51%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
51%
Marco Rubio
51%
Kazem Gharibabadi
51%
Ishaq Dar
51%
Pete Hegseth
49%
Rafael Grossi
49%
Esmail Qaani
24%
Ahmad Vahidi
9%
Mojtaba Khamenei
5%
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 24, 2026, 3:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent diplomatic momentum centers on the June 17 Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding and follow-on technical talks in Switzerland on June 21–22, which produced a 60-day roadmap toward a comprehensive US-Iran agreement covering nuclear issues, sanctions relief, Strait of Hormuz access, and Lebanon deconfliction mechanisms. Mediators Qatar and Pakistan have facilitated progress, including Iran’s reported commitment to resume IAEA inspections and US preparations for temporary sanctions waivers. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi both described the initial sessions as constructive, setting the stage for additional negotiating rounds or working groups before the mid-August target. These verified steps, alongside the extended ceasefire framework, shape trader assessments of likely participants in any further talks by the August 31 deadline.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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