The US has maintained a firm position against imposing transit fees or tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, citing UNCLOS principles that protect free passage through international waterways without charges for simple transit. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated the US acting as “Guardian” and collecting a 20% cargo reimbursement for security costs before shifting to Gulf investment deals. This followed a June US-Iran memorandum establishing a 60-day toll-free window, with longer-term administration left for negotiation among Iran, Oman, and others. Washington has rejected Iranian service-fee proposals and shown no sustained policy shift toward its own levy, leaving traders assigning low probability to US collection by year-end. No major scheduled events in the resolution window through December 31 appear positioned to alter this stance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$983,541 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
6%
$983,541 Vol.
December 31
$115,237 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US has maintained a firm position against imposing transit fees or tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, citing UNCLOS principles that protect free passage through international waterways without charges for simple transit. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated the US acting as “Guardian” and collecting a 20% cargo reimbursement for security costs before shifting to Gulf investment deals. This followed a June US-Iran memorandum establishing a 60-day toll-free window, with longer-term administration left for negotiation among Iran, Oman, and others. Washington has rejected Iranian service-fee proposals and shown no sustained policy shift toward its own levy, leaving traders assigning low probability to US collection by year-end. No major scheduled events in the resolution window through December 31 appear positioned to alter this stance.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$983,541Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.The US has maintained a firm position against imposing transit fees or tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, citing UNCLOS principles that protect free passage through international waterways without charges for simple transit. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated the US acting as “Guardian” and collecting a 20% cargo reimbursement for security costs before shifting to Gulf investment deals. This followed a June US-Iran memorandum establishing a 60-day toll-free window, with longer-term administration left for negotiation among Iran, Oman, and others. Washington has rejected Iranian service-fee proposals and shown no sustained policy shift toward its own levy, leaving traders assigning low probability to US collection by year-end. No major scheduled events in the resolution window through December 31 appear positioned to alter this stance.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$983,541Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US has maintained a firm position against imposing transit fees or tolls on the Strait of Hormuz, citing UNCLOS principles that protect free passage through international waterways without charges for simple transit. In mid-July 2026, President Trump briefly floated the US acting as “Guardian” and collecting a 20% cargo reimbursement for security costs before shifting to Gulf investment deals. This followed a June US-Iran memorandum establishing a 60-day toll-free window, with longer-term administration left for negotiation among Iran, Oman, and others. Washington has rejected Iranian service-fee proposals and shown no sustained policy shift toward its own levy, leaving traders assigning low probability to US collection by year-end. No major scheduled events in the resolution window through December 31 appear positioned to alter this stance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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