China’s most recent publicly acknowledged ballistic missile test occurred in July 2026, when a submarine-launched missile flew into the South Pacific, prompting regional concerns and diplomatic notes during subsequent defense talks. Since then, no new launches have been reported through mid-September, even as the People’s Liberation Army continues routine modernization, including H-6N bomber drills with air-launched missiles and monitoring of Taiwan’s live-fire exercises. Diplomatic channels remain active ahead of potential high-level U.S.-China meetings, with Pacific Island nations registering unease over prior tests but no acute crisis driving escalation. These factors underpin trader consensus that another launch is unlikely before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19% tsansa
$10,991 Vol.
$10,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
19% tsansa
$10,991 Vol.
$10,991 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.China’s most recent publicly acknowledged ballistic missile test occurred in July 2026, when a submarine-launched missile flew into the South Pacific, prompting regional concerns and diplomatic notes during subsequent defense talks. Since then, no new launches have been reported through mid-September, even as the People’s Liberation Army continues routine modernization, including H-6N bomber drills with air-launched missiles and monitoring of Taiwan’s live-fire exercises. Diplomatic channels remain active ahead of potential high-level U.S.-China meetings, with Pacific Island nations registering unease over prior tests but no acute crisis driving escalation. These factors underpin trader consensus that another launch is unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volume
$10,991Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.China’s most recent publicly acknowledged ballistic missile test occurred in July 2026, when a submarine-launched missile flew into the South Pacific, prompting regional concerns and diplomatic notes during subsequent defense talks. Since then, no new launches have been reported through mid-September, even as the People’s Liberation Army continues routine modernization, including H-6N bomber drills with air-launched missiles and monitoring of Taiwan’s live-fire exercises. Diplomatic channels remain active ahead of potential high-level U.S.-China meetings, with Pacific Island nations registering unease over prior tests but no acute crisis driving escalation. These factors underpin trader consensus that another launch is unlikely before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China launches a ballistic missile between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, including intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBMs), and ballistic anti-ship missiles, will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as cruise missiles, SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Volume
$10,991Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 7, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...China’s most recent publicly acknowledged ballistic missile test occurred in July 2026, when a submarine-launched missile flew into the South Pacific, prompting regional concerns and diplomatic notes during subsequent defense talks. Since then, no new launches have been reported through mid-September, even as the People’s Liberation Army continues routine modernization, including H-6N bomber drills with air-launched missiles and monitoring of Taiwan’s live-fire exercises. Diplomatic channels remain active ahead of potential high-level U.S.-China meetings, with Pacific Island nations registering unease over prior tests but no acute crisis driving escalation. These factors underpin trader consensus that another launch is unlikely before year-end.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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