Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Jon Jones vacated the belt in 2025, positioning him as the frontrunner in the end-of-2026 market at 54% implied probability. Ciryl Gane sits at 41.5% following his June 2026 interim title win over Alex Pereira and ongoing negotiations for a unification rematch with Aspinall, whose first encounter ended early due to an eye poke. Recent developments include Aspinall's return to full training post-surgery and reports targeting a September bout in Paris, which could clarify the division's hierarchy. The remaining field trails far behind amid typical heavyweight volatility, including roster depth questions and potential late contenders like Josh Hokit. Trader consensus reflects Aspinall's current standing offset by Gane's momentum and the sport's injury and matchup uncertainties.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateTom Aspinall 55%
Ciryl Gane 42%
Josh Hokit <1%
Serghei Spivac <1%
$337,022 Vol.
$337,022 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
55%
Ciryl Gane
42%
Josh Hokit
<1%
Serghei Spivac
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Alexander Volkov
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Sergei Pavlovich
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Tom Aspinall 55%
Ciryl Gane 42%
Josh Hokit <1%
Serghei Spivac <1%
$337,022 Vol.
$337,022 Vol.
Tom Aspinall
55%
Ciryl Gane
42%
Josh Hokit
<1%
Serghei Spivac
<1%
Tyrell Fortune
<1%
Alexander Volkov
<1%
Rizvan Kuniev
<1%
Curtis Blaydes
<1%
Marcin Tybura
<1%
Sergei Pavlovich
<1%
Jailton Almeida
<1%
Waldo Cortes Acosta
<1%
Ante Delija
<1%
Derrick Lewis
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Aspinall holds the undisputed UFC heavyweight title after Jon Jones vacated the belt in 2025, positioning him as the frontrunner in the end-of-2026 market at 54% implied probability. Ciryl Gane sits at 41.5% following his June 2026 interim title win over Alex Pereira and ongoing negotiations for a unification rematch with Aspinall, whose first encounter ended early due to an eye poke. Recent developments include Aspinall's return to full training post-surgery and reports targeting a September bout in Paris, which could clarify the division's hierarchy. The remaining field trails far behind amid typical heavyweight volatility, including roster depth questions and potential late contenders like Josh Hokit. Trader consensus reflects Aspinall's current standing offset by Gane's momentum and the sport's injury and matchup uncertainties.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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