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Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

icon for Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?

Islam Makhachev 80%

Gabriel Bonfim 34.4%

Ian Machado Garry 17.5%

Carlos Prates 1.3%

Polymarket

$608,647 Vol.

Islam Makhachev 80%

Gabriel Bonfim 34.4%

Ian Machado Garry 17.5%

Carlos Prates 1.3%

Polymarket

$608,647 Vol.

Islam Makhachev

$5,996 Vol.

75%

Gabriel Bonfim

$0 Vol.

34%

Ian Machado Garry

$2,790 Vol.

18%

Carlos Prates

$1,587 Vol.

1%

Shavkat Rakhmonov

$201,300 Vol.

<1%

Kamaru Usman

$365,488 Vol.

<1%

Michael Morales

$4,626 Vol.

<1%

Sean Brady

$1,421 Vol.

<1%

Jack Della Maddalena

$1,871 Vol.

<1%

Belal Muhammad

$1,095 Vol.

<1%

Leon Edwards

$1,197 Vol.

<1%

Joaquin Buckley

$21,274 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$608,647
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).Islam Makhachev’s commanding 74.5% implied probability stems from his elite skill set, recent lightweight title defenses, and widespread trader anticipation of a move to welterweight where his grappling and cardio could dominate the division through 2026. Gabriel Bonfim at 25.9% and Ian Garry at 17.5% trail as emerging contenders whose recent wins have boosted their profiles yet leave them unproven against top competition. Lower-priced options such as Shavkat Rakhmonov and current champion Belal Muhammad sit near 0% because of age curves, scheduling uncertainty, and the market’s view that established champions face steep barriers to holding the belt long-term amid rising prospects.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.

Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.

If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Volume
$608,647
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Islam Makhachev" sa 75%, sinusundan ng "Ian Machado Garry" sa 18%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 75¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $608.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 4, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay "Islam Makhachev" sa 75%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 75% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Ian Machado Garry" sa 18%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.