Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 96.7% implied probability that Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, will not escape again before the July 31 deadline. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age reducing physical agility, combined with the comprehensive enclosure reinforcements implemented at Franklin Park Zoo after his high-profile 2003 breakout, which have prevented any repeat incidents over two decades. Recent viral memes framing his planned transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo for breeding as a high-stakes “trade” have drawn attention but failed to shift sentiment, as zoo protocols emphasize rigorous transport security. While an unforeseen glitch during relocation or initial adaptation challenges in the new habitat could theoretically create an upset, industry experts view such scenarios as highly improbable given established best practices for primate transfers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Little Joe escape again?
Will Little Joe escape again?
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 31, 2026
BAGO
BAGO
Jul 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 96.7% implied probability that Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, will not escape again before the July 31 deadline. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age reducing physical agility, combined with the comprehensive enclosure reinforcements implemented at Franklin Park Zoo after his high-profile 2003 breakout, which have prevented any repeat incidents over two decades. Recent viral memes framing his planned transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo for breeding as a high-stakes “trade” have drawn attention but failed to shift sentiment, as zoo protocols emphasize rigorous transport security. While an unforeseen glitch during relocation or initial adaptation challenges in the new habitat could theoretically create an upset, industry experts view such scenarios as highly improbable given established best practices for primate transfers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Binuksan ang Market: May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$758Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 96.7% implied probability that Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, will not escape again before the July 31 deadline. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age reducing physical agility, combined with the comprehensive enclosure reinforcements implemented at Franklin Park Zoo after his high-profile 2003 breakout, which have prevented any repeat incidents over two decades. Recent viral memes framing his planned transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo for breeding as a high-stakes “trade” have drawn attention but failed to shift sentiment, as zoo protocols emphasize rigorous transport security. While an unforeseen glitch during relocation or initial adaptation challenges in the new habitat could theoretically create an upset, industry experts view such scenarios as highly improbable given established best practices for primate transfers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Little Joe the gorilla escapes again between market creation and July 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
For the purposes of this market, an "escape" consists of the gorilla getting out of his enclosure in an uncontrolled way. For example, his scheduled transfer to another zoo or removal from the enclosure for vet visits or maintenance will not qualify.
This market will resolve according to information from the Pittsburgh Zoo, the Franklin Park Zoo, or a consensus of credible reporting.
Damaging or disrupting animal enterprises is a federal crime under the The Animal Enterprise Terrorism Act (AETA) of 2006 (18 U.S.C. § 43). Penalties include fines in excess of $1,000,000 and life imprisonment. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the gorilla or its enclosure.
Volume
$758Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 31, 2026Binuksan ang Market
May 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 96.7% implied probability that Little Joe, the 33-year-old silverback western lowland gorilla, will not escape again before the July 31 deadline. This near-certainty stems from his advanced age reducing physical agility, combined with the comprehensive enclosure reinforcements implemented at Franklin Park Zoo after his high-profile 2003 breakout, which have prevented any repeat incidents over two decades. Recent viral memes framing his planned transfer to Pittsburgh Zoo for breeding as a high-stakes “trade” have drawn attention but failed to shift sentiment, as zoo protocols emphasize rigorous transport security. While an unforeseen glitch during relocation or initial adaptation challenges in the new habitat could theoretically create an upset, industry experts view such scenarios as highly improbable given established best practices for primate transfers.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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