Russian forces continue their incremental advances in the Kupiansk direction of Kharkiv Oblast, targeting settlements including Moskovka (also known as Myrove) northeast of the city to expand bridgeheads across the Oskil River and disrupt Ukrainian logistics. Institute for the Study of War assessments document ongoing Russian assaults near Kindrashivka, Holubivka, and Radkivka, building on earlier 2025 gains that were partially reversed by Ukrainian counteroperations clearing pockets in the area during December. Trader consensus reflects the grinding pace of Russian operations, limited by Ukrainian defensive reinforcements and artillery, alongside the absence of large-scale breakthroughs since early 2026. Scheduled developments through late May could include intensified Russian strikes or Ukrainian stabilization efforts that directly influence whether any territory in Moskovka changes hands before the resolution window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill Russia enter Moskovka by...?
$12,678 Vol.
May 31
13%
$12,678 Vol.
May 31
13%
Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 14, 2026, 5:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.
For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine", “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify.
Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.
If Russia comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded red in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Russia de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Russian forces continue their incremental advances in the Kupiansk direction of Kharkiv Oblast, targeting settlements including Moskovka (also known as Myrove) northeast of the city to expand bridgeheads across the Oskil River and disrupt Ukrainian logistics. Institute for the Study of War assessments document ongoing Russian assaults near Kindrashivka, Holubivka, and Radkivka, building on earlier 2025 gains that were partially reversed by Ukrainian counteroperations clearing pockets in the area during December. Trader consensus reflects the grinding pace of Russian operations, limited by Ukrainian defensive reinforcements and artillery, alongside the absence of large-scale breakthroughs since early 2026. Scheduled developments through late May could include intensified Russian strikes or Ukrainian stabilization efforts that directly influence whether any territory in Moskovka changes hands before the resolution window closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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