Skip to main content
icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Politika·Korte Suprema

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

icon for Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Politika·Korte Suprema

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?

$3,455,806 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$3,455,806 Vol.

Polymarket

September 30

$992,965 Vol.

2%

December 31

$813,911 Vol.

6%

June 30, 2027

$47,267 Vol.

34%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, aged 76, publicly stated in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” directly addressing speculation triggered by an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his retirement. This statement aligns with the absence of any official announcement from Alito or the Court and follows earlier rumors tied to President Trump’s term and Republican Senate majorities, which could facilitate a successor appointment. Traders weigh historical retirement patterns for justices near age 80 against Alito’s continued engagement on the bench through the 2026 term ending June 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 2026 term start and any end-of-term announcements, with markets reflecting low near-term probability but ongoing uncertainty over strategic timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$3,455,806
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito, aged 76, publicly stated in an early August 2026 Wall Street Journal interview that he is “here for another term,” directly addressing speculation triggered by an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming his retirement. This statement aligns with the absence of any official announcement from Alito or the Court and follows earlier rumors tied to President Trump’s term and Republican Senate majorities, which could facilitate a successor appointment. Traders weigh historical retirement patterns for justices near age 80 against Alito’s continued engagement on the bench through the 2026 term ending June 2027. Key upcoming catalysts include the October 2026 term start and any end-of-term announcements, with markets reflecting low near-term probability but ongoing uncertainty over strategic timing.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.

Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Volume
$3,455,806
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.

Kaugnay

icon for Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

9%
icon for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

23%
icon for Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?

16%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "June 30, 2027" sa 34%, sinusundan ng "December 31" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 34¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 34% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?" ay naka-generate ng $3.5 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Feb 17, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?" ay "June 30, 2027" sa 34%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 34% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "December 31" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.