Intensified U.S. sanctions, including Treasury actions on May 11 targeting Iranian oil shipments to China and shadow financial networks, have driven the rial to record lows near 1.81 million per USD in the free market as of May 14, reflecting disrupted exports and broader economic contraction estimated at 6.1% for 2026 by the IMF. Persistent restrictions on Tehran's oil trade, amid reports of naval blockades impacting Strait of Hormuz passage, accelerated depreciation from 1.54 million earlier in May, underscoring trader consensus on sustained pressure from U.S. foreign policy. With two weeks until May 31 resolution using parallel market rates, potential escalations in sanctions, oil price volatility, or stalled diplomatic talks could tip the exchange rate higher, though partial recoveries remain possible absent new catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateWill USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?
Will USD hit ___ Iranian rials by May 31?
$74,486 Vol.
↑ 2.0M
47%
↑ 1.9M
62%
↓ 1.7M
26%
↓ 1.6M
12%
↓ 1.5M
7%
$74,486 Vol.
↑ 2.0M
47%
↑ 1.9M
62%
↓ 1.7M
26%
↓ 1.6M
12%
↓ 1.5M
7%
This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 30, 2026, 3:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the daily finalized free-market USD exchange rate as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Revisions or corrections to daily figures indicating a qualifying exchange rate will be considered only if they occur before all relevant figures for this market have been finalized.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). Resolution will occur once the final exchange rate data point of the specified timeframe is finalized. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Intensified U.S. sanctions, including Treasury actions on May 11 targeting Iranian oil shipments to China and shadow financial networks, have driven the rial to record lows near 1.81 million per USD in the free market as of May 14, reflecting disrupted exports and broader economic contraction estimated at 6.1% for 2026 by the IMF. Persistent restrictions on Tehran's oil trade, amid reports of naval blockades impacting Strait of Hormuz passage, accelerated depreciation from 1.54 million earlier in May, underscoring trader consensus on sustained pressure from U.S. foreign policy. With two weeks until May 31 resolution using parallel market rates, potential escalations in sanctions, oil price volatility, or stalled diplomatic talks could tip the exchange rate higher, though partial recoveries remain possible absent new catalysts.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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