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Термінові політичні новини та прогнози

4 лист. 2026 р.

Термінові новини

Подивіться, які polymarket найбільше змінилися за останні 24 години

1
icon for Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?

5%
93%
2
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?

94%
91%
3
icon for Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?

1%
86%
4
icon for Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

90%
83%
5
icon for Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?

94%
81%
6
icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?

99%
76%
7
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?

98%
76%
8
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?

90%
74%
9
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?

82%
73%
10
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?

100%
72%
11
icon for Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?

1%
71%
12
icon for Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?

1%
71%
13
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?

99%
69%
14
icon for Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?

Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?

89%
65%
15
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?

96%
63%
16
icon for Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?

Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?

98%
63%
17
icon for Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?

100%
63%
18
icon for Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

100%
63%
19
icon for Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?

89%
62%
20
icon for Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?

0%
62%
21
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?

99%
61%
22
icon for Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?

93%
60%
23
icon for Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?

0%
60%
24
icon for Чи переможе Нітья Раман на виборах мера Лос-Анджелеса 2026 року?

Чи переможе Нітья Раман на виборах мера Лос-Анджелеса 2026 року?

98%
58%
25
icon for Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

100%
55%
26
icon for Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?

8%
54%
27
icon for Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?

1%
53%
28
icon for Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?

4%
52%
29
icon for Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?

Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?

5%
51%
30
icon for Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?

1%
51%
31
icon for Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?

2%
49%
32
icon for JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?

35%
48%
33
icon for Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?

Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?

0%
44%
34
icon for Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?

4%
43%
35
icon for Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?

1%
38%
36
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?

100%
36%
37
icon for Баланс сил 2026: Сенат — Демократична партія, Палата — Демократична партія

Баланс сил 2026: Сенат — Демократична партія, Палата — Демократична партія

100%
24%
38
icon for Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?

89%
24%
39
icon for Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?

66%
22%
40
icon for Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?

80%
21%
41
icon for Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?

7%
15%
42
icon for Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

22%
15%
43
icon for Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?

24%
11%
44
icon for Чи покине Піт Хегсет адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?

Чи покине Піт Хегсет адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?

45%
10%
45
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

79%
9%
46
icon for First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?

0%
7%
47
icon for Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?

70%
7%
48
icon for Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?

100%
5%

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