Термінові політичні новини та прогнози
4 лист. 2026 р.
Термінові новини
Подивіться, які polymarket найбільше змінилися за останні 24 години
1


Will the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?
5%
93%
2


Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more?
94%
91%
3


Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?
1%
86%
4

Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
90%
83%
5


Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
94%
81%
6


Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election by 0%-3%?
99%
76%
7


Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 18% or more?
98%
76%
8


Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?
90%
74%
9


Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?
82%
73%
10


Will the Democratic Party win the TX-09 House seat?
100%
72%
11


Will the Republican Party win the OH-10 House seat?
1%
71%
12


Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?
1%
71%
13


Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election?
99%
69%
14


Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%?
89%
65%
15


Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?
96%
63%
16

Will Democrats sweep the Kansas Senate and Governor elections?
98%
63%
17


Will the Democrats win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
100%
63%
18

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?
100%
63%
19


Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio Senate election by 3%-6%?
89%
62%
20


Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?
0%
62%
21


Will the Democratic Party win the FL-09 House seat?
99%
61%
22

Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?
93%
60%
23


Will the Republican Party win the NC-13 House seat?
0%
60%
24


Чи переможе Нітья Раман на виборах мера Лос-Анджелеса 2026 року?
98%
58%
25

Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
100%
55%
26


Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?
8%
54%
27


Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat?
1%
53%
28


Will the Republican Party win the CO-05 House seat?
4%
52%
29

Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
5%
51%
30


Will the Republican Party win the NV-02 House seat?
1%
51%
31


Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?
2%
49%
32


JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
35%
48%
33


Will the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?
0%
44%
34


Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?
4%
43%
35

Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in North Carolina in the 2026 midterm elections?
1%
38%
36

First Round Outright Winner in the GA-03 House Election?
100%
36%
37

Баланс сил 2026: Сенат — Демократична партія, Палата — Демократична партія
100%
24%
38


Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader?
89%
24%
39

Susie Wiles out as White House Chief of Staff by December 31?
66%
22%
40

Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?
80%
21%
41

Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
7%
15%
42

Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
22%
15%
43


Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?
24%
11%
44

Чи покине Піт Хегсет адміністрацію Трампа до 2027 року?
45%
10%
45

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?
79%
9%
46

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?
0%
7%
47

Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026?
70%
7%
48

Will Republican House incumbents not win in between four and six nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
100%
5%