Термінові світові новини та прогнози
4 лист. 2026 р.
Термінові новини
Подивіться, які polymarket найбільше змінилися за останні 24 години
1
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
100%
52%
2
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?
92%
41%
3
US imports Russian diesel by January 31?
31%
34%
4
Чи буде Ніколас Мадуро засуджений без тюремного ув'язнення?
68%
31%
5
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
97%
27%
6
Will oil be at least $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?
0%
25%
7
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?
0%
24%
8
US imposes new sanctions on China by November 30, 2026?
12%
16%
9
Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?
100%
16%
10
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the cash rate target at the February meeting?
84%
15%
11
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 6?
2%
13%
12
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
27%
11%
13
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
45%
11%
14
Next Israeli government a minority government?
33%
11%
15
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron by November 30?
57%
11%
16
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
36%
10%
17
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?
64%
10%
18
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand increase the official cash rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?
65%
9%
19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 6?
90%
9%
20
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?
9%
8%
21
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?
14%
7%
22
Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?
77%
6%
23
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
18%
6%
24
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
32%
5%