Термінові світові новини та прогнози
4 лист. 2026 р.
Термінові новини
Подивіться, які polymarket найбільше змінилися за останні 24 години
1
Will EH Bildu win the most seats in Biscay in the 2026 Spanish general election?
68%
40%
2
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?
100%
28%
3
US imports Russian diesel by March 31?
22%
28%
4
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?
100%
25%
5
Will United Torah Judaism be in the next Israeli government?
52%
25%
6
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
61%
25%
7
Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?
100%
24%
8
Will the Democrats fail to sweep the House and Senate and Israel and Hamas not agree to ceasefire Phase II by the end of 2027?
0%
24%
9
Will the Democrats sweep the House and Senate and the US-Iran ceasefire not hold through 2027?
97%
22%
10
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by November 30, 2026?
7%
21%
11
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026?
25%
16%
12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?
65%
16%
13
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?
100%
15%
14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?
85%
14%
15
Чи стане Гаді Айзенкот наступним прем'єр-міністром Ізраїлю?
59%
12%
16
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by November 30, 2026?
22%
11%
17
Will the next Israeli government hold fewer than 58 seats?
46%
11%
18
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?
92%
10%
19
Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by December 31?
30%
10%
20
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?
30%
10%
21
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by December 31?
47%
9%
22
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?
18%
8%
23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?
71%
8%
24
Ніколи нічого не відбувається: 2026
90%
8%
25
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand decrease the official cash rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?
8%
8%
26
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027?
21%
7%
27
Чи вторгнеться США в Іран до 2027 року?
11%
7%
28
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
7%
7%
29
Trump meets with Putin by November 30?
90%
6%
30
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
91%
6%
31
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
11%
6%
32
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
6%
6%
33
Чи завдасть США удару по Колумбії до 31 грудня?
11%
6%
34
Will Houthis target Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
5%
6%
35
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?
32%
5%