Alofoke (Santiago Matías) announced in July 2026 that he would launch his own political party rather than accept presidential overtures from the PRSC or other groups, formally depositing the registration for “Dominicanos Primero” with the JCE in August. Signature drives have since expanded to dozens of provinces, with reports of steady daily collections and milestones such as the 30th province hitting targets by mid-October. These steps, backed by his established media platform and national tours, underpin the 62% market-implied probability for official recognition by the June 30, 2027 resolution date. Traders weigh the momentum of the filing and grassroots push against the remaining bureaucratic thresholds, including signature quotas and JCE review timelines that historically test new entrants. Upcoming provincial events and signature updates remain key near-term catalysts.