The dominant factor driving trader sentiment is ABC and Disney's March 2026 decision to cancel Bachelorette Season 22 outright after a 2023 video surfaced showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a domestic incident, prompting the network to scrap the planned March 22 premiere and supporting the 83% market-implied probability on season cancellation. This abrupt pull, confirmed in official statements emphasizing family support over broadcast, halted all post-production and eliminated any path to a traditional winner among the announced cast of 22 men. The modest 11.7% implied probability attached to Doug Mason reflects limited speculation about alternative resolutions or reshoots that have not materialized in the intervening months, while the sub-2% odds on remaining names align with the complete absence of new filming or network reversal signals. No further developments have altered the standing cancellation through mid-August 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоПереможець 22 сезону девичника
Other (Season Cancelled) 72%
Даг Мейсон 10.9%
Майкл Баба 1.0%
Кейсі Гакс 1.0%
$2,456,222 Обс.
$2,456,222 Обс.
Other (Season Cancelled)
72%
Даг Мейсон
11%
Майкл Баба
1%
Кейсі Гакс
1%
Джонні ЛаРосс
1%
Ронн Перес
1%
Малік Еванс
1%
Род Строзьєр
1%
Шейн Партон
1%
Метт Керролл
1%
Джош Гарвард
1%
Маркус Річардсон
1%
Майк Турітто
<1%
Бред Ледфорд
<1%
Брендон Перс
<1%
Крістофер Вуд
<1%
Конрад Укропіна
<1%
Клейтон Джонсон
<1%
Річард Ван Де Вотер
<1%
Трентен Меррілл
<1%
Кевін Монтеро
<1%
Аарон Канг
<1%
Лью Еванс
<1%
Other (Season Cancelled) 72%
Даг Мейсон 10.9%
Майкл Баба 1.0%
Кейсі Гакс 1.0%
$2,456,222 Обс.
$2,456,222 Обс.
Other (Season Cancelled)
72%
Даг Мейсон
11%
Майкл Баба
1%
Кейсі Гакс
1%
Джонні ЛаРосс
1%
Ронн Перес
1%
Малік Еванс
1%
Род Строзьєр
1%
Шейн Партон
1%
Метт Керролл
1%
Джош Гарвард
1%
Маркус Річардсон
1%
Майк Турітто
<1%
Бред Ледфорд
<1%
Брендон Перс
<1%
Крістофер Вуд
<1%
Конрад Укропіна
<1%
Клейтон Джонсон
<1%
Річард Ван Де Вотер
<1%
Трентен Меррілл
<1%
Кевін Монтеро
<1%
Аарон Канг
<1%
Лью Еванс
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The dominant factor driving trader sentiment is ABC and Disney's March 2026 decision to cancel Bachelorette Season 22 outright after a 2023 video surfaced showing lead Taylor Frankie Paul in a domestic incident, prompting the network to scrap the planned March 22 premiere and supporting the 83% market-implied probability on season cancellation. This abrupt pull, confirmed in official statements emphasizing family support over broadcast, halted all post-production and eliminated any path to a traditional winner among the announced cast of 22 men. The modest 11.7% implied probability attached to Doug Mason reflects limited speculation about alternative resolutions or reshoots that have not materialized in the intervening months, while the sub-2% odds on remaining names align with the complete absence of new filming or network reversal signals. No further developments have altered the standing cancellation through mid-August 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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