The Bank of Korea’s decision to hold its policy rate at the current 3.00% level in October reflects the central bank’s emphasis on evaluating the effects of its consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August, following inflation that reached 3.1% year-over-year in August and core readings of 3.4%. Robust semiconductor export growth has supported an upgraded 2026 GDP outlook near 3.3%, while household debt and housing market concerns reinforce a cautious stance. The recent Federal Reserve rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% range has widened the Korea-U.S. differential to 100 basis points, adding external pressure, though BOK communications stress gradual pacing and data-dependent timing rather than predetermined moves. Market-implied odds align with this wait-and-see approach ahead of the October meeting, with any further tightening more likely deferred to November or later.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNo Change 79%
25 bps hike 18%
50+ bps hike 3.4%
25 bps cut <1%
$11,817 Обс.
$11,817 Обс.
Oct 21, 2026
50+ bps cut
1%
25 bps cut
1%
No Change
79%
25 bps hike
18%
50+ bps hike
3%
No Change 79%
25 bps hike 18%
50+ bps hike 3.4%
25 bps cut <1%
$11,817 Обс.
$11,817 Обс.
Oct 21, 2026
50+ bps cut
$318 Обс.
1%
25 bps cut
$398 Обс.
1%
No Change
$6,474 Обс.
79%
25 bps hike
$4,277 Обс.
18%
50+ bps hike
$351 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s decision to hold its policy rate at the current 3.00% level in October reflects the central bank’s emphasis on evaluating the effects of its consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August, following inflation that reached 3.1% year-over-year in August and core readings of 3.4%. Robust semiconductor export growth has supported an upgraded 2026 GDP outlook near 3.3%, while household debt and housing market concerns reinforce a cautious stance. The recent Federal Reserve rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% range has widened the Korea-U.S. differential to 100 basis points, adding external pressure, though BOK communications stress gradual pacing and data-dependent timing rather than predetermined moves. Market-implied odds align with this wait-and-see approach ahead of the October meeting, with any further tightening more likely deferred to November or later.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,817Дата завершення
Oct 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s decision to hold its policy rate at the current 3.00% level in October reflects the central bank’s emphasis on evaluating the effects of its consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August, following inflation that reached 3.1% year-over-year in August and core readings of 3.4%. Robust semiconductor export growth has supported an upgraded 2026 GDP outlook near 3.3%, while household debt and housing market concerns reinforce a cautious stance. The recent Federal Reserve rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% range has widened the Korea-U.S. differential to 100 basis points, adding external pressure, though BOK communications stress gradual pacing and data-dependent timing rather than predetermined moves. Market-implied odds align with this wait-and-see approach ahead of the October meeting, with any further tightening more likely deferred to November or later.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
Обсяг
$11,817Дата завершення
Oct 22, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Korea’s decision to hold its policy rate at the current 3.00% level in October reflects the central bank’s emphasis on evaluating the effects of its consecutive 25 basis point hikes in July and August, following inflation that reached 3.1% year-over-year in August and core readings of 3.4%. Robust semiconductor export growth has supported an upgraded 2026 GDP outlook near 3.3%, while household debt and housing market concerns reinforce a cautious stance. The recent Federal Reserve rate increase to the 3.75-4.00% range has widened the Korea-U.S. differential to 100 basis points, adding external pressure, though BOK communications stress gradual pacing and data-dependent timing rather than predetermined moves. Market-implied odds align with this wait-and-see approach ahead of the October meeting, with any further tightening more likely deferred to November or later.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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