Doug Ford secured a third consecutive majority government in Ontario’s February 2025 snap election and reaffirmed his intent to seek a fourth term during the January 2026 PC convention. These outcomes have entrenched his position as Progressive Conservative leader with no scheduled leadership review, visible caucus revolt, or resignation signals emerging in recent months. Recent cabinet departures, including Tourism Minister Stan Cho’s July exit over expense issues, reflect routine personnel shifts rather than broader challenges to Ford’s authority. Polling shows sustained party support ahead of the next election cycle despite softer personal approval ratings, while opposition parties remain focused on their own leadership transitions. Traders view these factors as maintaining a stable environment through year-end with limited near-term catalysts for departure.