Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено40-64 50%
<40 47%
90-114 45%
65-89 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 29, 2026
<40
47%
40-64
55%
65-89
34%
90-114
45%
115-139
15%
140-164
3%
165-189
12%
190-214
45%
215-239
44%
240+
27%
40-64 50%
<40 47%
90-114 45%
65-89 25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jul 29, 2026
<40
$0 Обс.
47%
40-64
$20 Обс.
55%
65-89
$80 Обс.
34%
90-114
$0 Обс.
45%
115-139
$100 Обс.
15%
140-164
$0 Обс.
3%
165-189
$100 Обс.
12%
190-214
$0 Обс.
45%
215-239
$0 Обс.
44%
240+
$0 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$300Дата завершення
Jul 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 27 12:00 PM ET to July 29, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Обсяг
$300Дата завершення
Jul 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2026, 4:07 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s tweet volume over the July 27-29 weekend remains highly uncertain, with markets showing 40-64 tweets as the narrow leader at 57% implied probability while sub-40 and several higher bins cluster tightly around 44-49%. Traders weigh his historically erratic pace—often spiking above 100 posts amid company news, regulatory developments, or viral moments—against the quieter holiday-adjacent period and recent averages from comparable three-day stretches. Key swing factors include any sudden X platform announcements or personal commentary that could push totals into the 90-114 or 190+ ranges favored by the next tier of odds. The spread underscores how quickly sentiment can shift with real-time activity rather than fixed patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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