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French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

icon for French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?
Вибори·Вибори у Франції

French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?

$21,875 Обс.

Apr 23, 2027
Polymarket

$21,875 Обс.

Polymarket

Éric Zemmour

$238 Обс.

74%

Jordan Bardella

$1,558 Обс.

76%

Michel Barnier

$162 Обс.

11%

Valérie Pécresse

$156 Обс.

13%

Élisabeth Borne

$278 Обс.

15%

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$385 Обс.

13%

Jean Castex

$64 Обс.

30%

Gérald Darmanin

$171 Обс.

35%

Sébastien Lecornu

$172 Обс.

34%

François Bayrou

$486 Обс.

11%

Bernard Cazeneuve

$51 Обс.

32%

Carole Delga

$154 Обс.

18%

Olivier Faure

$229 Обс.

50%

François Hollande

$132 Обс.

51%

Raphaël Glucksmann

$523 Обс.

66%

Manuel Bompard

$397 Обс.

6%

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$6,393 Обс.

99%

Mathilde Panot

$8,757 Обс.

5%

Dominique de Villepin

$25 Обс.

70%

Marine Le Pen

$147 Обс.

23%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's 2027 presidential race has drawn an unusually large field of declared or prospective candidates, with more than 30 names under discussion by spring 2026. Recent confirmations include Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise in early May and former prime minister Gabriel Attal later that month, while Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April after an internal vote. Édouard Philippe remains prominent in polling as a potential centrist or centre-right unifier. On the far right, Jordan Bardella is positioned to step forward if Marine Le Pen's eligibility appeal fails, with a key court decision expected in July. Ongoing party divisions, Macron's term limit, and first-round fragmentation continue to shape announcement timing and positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$21,875
Дата завершення
Apr 23, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.France's 2027 presidential race has drawn an unusually large field of declared or prospective candidates, with more than 30 names under discussion by spring 2026. Recent confirmations include Jean-Luc Mélenchon of La France Insoumise in early May and former prime minister Gabriel Attal later that month, while Bruno Retailleau secured The Republicans' endorsement in April after an internal vote. Édouard Philippe remains prominent in polling as a potential centrist or centre-right unifier. On the far right, Jordan Bardella is positioned to step forward if Marine Le Pen's eligibility appeal fails, with a key court decision expected in July. Ongoing party divisions, Macron's term limit, and first-round fragmentation continue to shape announcement timing and positioning ahead of the April 2027 vote.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot.

Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$21,875
Дата завершення
Apr 23, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual publicly announces that they are running for President in the 2027 French presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual of their candidacy will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually formally file their candidacy, or whether they actually appear on the ballot. Statements that merely indicate the listed individual is considering a run, is expected to run, or is being discussed as a possible candidate will not be sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the listed individual; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 21 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Gabriel Attal» з 100%, далі «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» з 99%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» згенерував $21.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 22, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?», перегляньте 21 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «French Presidential Election: who will announce a run in 2026?» — «Gabriel Attal» з 100%. Наступний — «Jean-Luc Mélenchon» з 99%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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