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icon for Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?

Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?

icon for Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?

Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?

Без тюремного ув’язнення 30.5%

10-20 years 24.5%

20-30 років 24.3%

<5 years 10.1%

Polymarket

$929,857 Обс.

Без тюремного ув’язнення 30.5%

10-20 years 24.5%

20-30 років 24.3%

<5 years 10.1%

Polymarket

$929,857 Обс.

Без тюремного ув’язнення

$331,559 Обс.

31%

<5 years

$122,883 Обс.

10%

5–10 років

$73,121 Обс.

6%

10-20 years

$148,919 Обс.

25%

20-30 років

$187,325 Обс.

24%

Понад 30 років

$66,049 Обс.

8%

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations in Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial, underway since May 13, 2026, have fueled trader uncertainty, with no prison time edging out 10-20 and 20-30 year outcomes in a fragmented market reflecting high-stakes volatility. Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer central to the #MeToo reckoning, faces up to 25 years if reconvicted on the 2013 charges—previously yielding a 23-year sentence overturned in 2024—while serving time from his 2022 California rape conviction (16 years), whose appeal saw a skeptical panel in April 2026. Recent chest pains during proceedings highlight his frail health at 73, amplifying release speculation amid consecutive sentencing questions. A verdict could swiftly reshape consensus, as traders weigh historical appeal successes against enduring victim testimonies.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$929,857
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jury deliberations in Harvey Weinstein's third New York rape retrial, underway since May 13, 2026, have fueled trader uncertainty, with no prison time edging out 10-20 and 20-30 year outcomes in a fragmented market reflecting high-stakes volatility. Weinstein, the disgraced Hollywood producer central to the #MeToo reckoning, faces up to 25 years if reconvicted on the 2013 charges—previously yielding a 23-year sentence overturned in 2024—while serving time from his 2022 California rape conviction (16 years), whose appeal saw a skeptical panel in April 2026. Recent chest pains during proceedings highlight his frail health at 73, amplifying release speculation amid consecutive sentencing questions. A verdict could swiftly reshape consensus, as traders weigh historical appeal successes against enduring victim testimonies.

This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."

If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."

If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$929,857
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2025
Ринок відкрито
May 12, 2025, 6:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Harvey Weinstein as part of his ongoing New York retrial (People of the State of New York v. Harvey Weinstein) by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Weinstein is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time." If no sentencing takes place by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time." If the sentence falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Weinstein is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in this case. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Без тюремного ув’язнення» з 31%, далі «10-20 years» з 25%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?» згенерував $929.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 12, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?», перегляньте 6 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?» — «Без тюремного ув’язнення» з 31%. Наступний — «10-20 years» з 25%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Гарві Вайнштейн у в 'язниці?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.