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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

No Bond chosen 97.5%

Henry Cavill <1%

Callum Turner <1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$3,276,047 Обс.

No Bond chosen 97.5%

Henry Cavill <1%

Callum Turner <1%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson <1%

Polymarket

$3,276,047 Обс.

icon for No Bond chosen

No Bond chosen

$388,193 Обс.

98%

icon for Henry Cavill

Henry Cavill

$474,057 Обс.

<1%

icon for Callum Turner

Callum Turner

$175,117 Обс.

<1%

icon for Aaron Taylor-Johnson

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$181,548 Обс.

<1%

icon for James Norton

James Norton

$197,752 Обс.

<1%

icon for Paul Mescal

Paul Mescal

$275,645 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jacob Elordi

Jacob Elordi

$297,533 Обс.

<1%

icon for Harris Dickinson

Harris Dickinson

$235,713 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tom Hardy

Tom Hardy

$145,154 Обс.

<1%

icon for Pierce Brosnan

Pierce Brosnan

$254,723 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$271,535 Обс.

<1%

icon for Jack Lowdon

Jack Lowdon

$160,928 Обс.

<1%

icon for Theo James

Theo James

$73,873 Обс.

<1%

icon for Robert James-Collier

Robert James-Collier

$70,243 Обс.

<1%

icon for Josh O'Connor

Josh O'Connor

$74,034 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,276,047
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The dominant 94% market-implied probability that no actor has been chosen stems from the early phase of the official casting search for the next James Bond. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed in mid-May that auditions began weeks earlier, enlisting veteran casting director Nina Gold to identify candidates for the role ahead of Bond 26, directed by Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Harris Dickinson generate ongoing speculation and betting interest, the studio has signaled it will share updates only when ready, with no announcements or commitments reported through mid-June. A swift resolution could occur if producers accelerate toward a preferred actor with multi-film availability, though the process typically unfolds over many months.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,276,047
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next James Bond actor?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 15 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «No Bond chosen» з 98%, далі «Henry Cavill» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next James Bond actor?» згенерував $3.3 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Aug 4, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next James Bond actor?», перегляньте 15 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next James Bond actor?» — «No Bond chosen» з 98%. Наступний — «Henry Cavill» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next James Bond actor?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.