**Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 55–65% as of mid-September 2026, while the strongest reported Grok 4.x models sit at 42–44% on the same expert-authored 2,500-question benchmark of graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.** This gap reflects xAI’s recent model releases focusing more on general capabilities and agentic features than on saturating this particular closed-book academic test, where tool use and protocol differences can shift reported scores. With only three months remaining in 2026, traders are pricing in the low probability of a Grok breakthrough that would close the multi-point deficit against faster-moving competitors like Anthropic and OpenAI. New Grok releases or evaluation methodology changes could still move the market, but historical iteration speeds make rapid gains to 50%+ unlikely without major verified progress.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$118,567 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
45%+
78%
50%+
51%
55%+
31%
60%+
19%
65%+
4%
$118,567 Обс.
45%+
$44,141 Обс.
78%
50%+
$24,577 Обс.
51%
55%+
$29,262 Обс.
31%
60%+
$17,653 Обс.
19%
65%+
$2,934 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 55–65% as of mid-September 2026, while the strongest reported Grok 4.x models sit at 42–44% on the same expert-authored 2,500-question benchmark of graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.**
This gap reflects xAI’s recent model releases focusing more on general capabilities and agentic features than on saturating this particular closed-book academic test, where tool use and protocol differences can shift reported scores. With only three months remaining in 2026, traders are pricing in the low probability of a Grok breakthrough that would close the multi-point deficit against faster-moving competitors like Anthropic and OpenAI. New Grok releases or evaluation methodology changes could still move the market, but historical iteration speeds make rapid gains to 50%+ unlikely without major verified progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Обсяг
$118,567Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://agi.safe.ai/Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 55–65% as of mid-September 2026, while the strongest reported Grok 4.x models sit at 42–44% on the same expert-authored 2,500-question benchmark of graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.**
This gap reflects xAI’s recent model releases focusing more on general capabilities and agentic features than on saturating this particular closed-book academic test, where tool use and protocol differences can shift reported scores. With only three months remaining in 2026, traders are pricing in the low probability of a Grok breakthrough that would close the multi-point deficit against faster-moving competitors like Anthropic and OpenAI. New Grok releases or evaluation methodology changes could still move the market, but historical iteration speeds make rapid gains to 50%+ unlikely without major verified progress.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$118,567Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://agi.safe.ai/Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Anthropic's latest Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards at 55–65% as of mid-September 2026, while the strongest reported Grok 4.x models sit at 42–44% on the same expert-authored 2,500-question benchmark of graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.** This gap reflects xAI’s recent model releases focusing more on general capabilities and agentic features than on saturating this particular closed-book academic test, where tool use and protocol differences can shift reported scores. With only three months remaining in 2026, traders are pricing in the low probability of a Grok breakthrough that would close the multi-point deficit against faster-moving competitors like Anthropic and OpenAI. New Grok releases or evaluation methodology changes could still move the market, but historical iteration speeds make rapid gains to 50%+ unlikely without major verified progress.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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