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icon for Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$64,947 Обс.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$64,947 Обс.

Polymarket

55%+

$41,025 Обс.

33%

60%+

$13,616 Обс.

20%

65%+

$8,420 Обс.

16%

70%+

$1,887 Обс.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 large language model has driven recent trader sentiment by posting 62% accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards in September 2026 evaluations, placing it within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants while outperforming several GPT-5 configurations. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s scaled investment in reasoning-focused training and high-effort inference modes on the 2,500-question expert benchmark, which tests graduate-level knowledge across mathematics, sciences, and other domains. Competitive dynamics favor Meta due to lower inference costs and open-weight options that accelerate developer adoption, though Anthropic and OpenAI maintain slight edges on verified closed-book runs. Key upcoming catalysts include potential Muse Spark 1.2 or 1.3 releases and any year-end model updates before the December 31, 2026 resolution, which could push Meta past the 65% or 70% thresholds if scaling laws and post-training refinements continue at current pace.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$64,947
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://agi.safe.ai/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Meta’s Muse Spark 1.1 large language model has driven recent trader sentiment by posting 62% accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards in September 2026 evaluations, placing it within a few points of Anthropic’s leading Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 variants while outperforming several GPT-5 configurations. This rapid climb from earlier Llama releases reflects Meta’s scaled investment in reasoning-focused training and high-effort inference modes on the 2,500-question expert benchmark, which tests graduate-level knowledge across mathematics, sciences, and other domains. Competitive dynamics favor Meta due to lower inference costs and open-weight options that accelerate developer adoption, though Anthropic and OpenAI maintain slight edges on verified closed-book runs. Key upcoming catalysts include potential Muse Spark 1.2 or 1.3 releases and any year-end model updates before the December 31, 2026 resolution, which could push Meta past the 65% or 70% thresholds if scaling laws and post-training refinements continue at current pace.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by Meta achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$64,947
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:48 PM ET

Джерело вирішення

https://agi.safe.ai/

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «55%+» з 33%, далі «60%+» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» згенерував $64.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?» — «55%+» з 33%. Наступний — «60%+» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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