Recent leaderboard data shows OpenAI’s strongest models, including GPT-6 Astra at 54.7% and GPT-5.4 Pro variants near 58%, trailing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (59.1–65%) and Opus 5 on Humanity’s Last Exam. The benchmark’s rapid climb from low teens in early 2026 to the mid-50s reflects scaling, reasoning scaffolds, and tool use across frontier labs. Traders price high odds for OpenAI clearing 50%+ and 55%+ by December 31, 2026, reflecting expected further releases and optimizations, while 60%+ remains more contested due to the narrow gap with leaders and typical model iteration timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$107,717 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
77%
60%+
33%
65%+
16%
70%+
10%
$107,717 Обс.
55%+
$34,332 Обс.
77%
60%+
$41,111 Обс.
33%
65%+
$9,428 Обс.
16%
70%+
$5,516 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Recent leaderboard data shows OpenAI’s strongest models, including GPT-6 Astra at 54.7% and GPT-5.4 Pro variants near 58%, trailing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (59.1–65%) and Opus 5 on Humanity’s Last Exam. The benchmark’s rapid climb from low teens in early 2026 to the mid-50s reflects scaling, reasoning scaffolds, and tool use across frontier labs. Traders price high odds for OpenAI clearing 50%+ and 55%+ by December 31, 2026, reflecting expected further releases and optimizations, while 60%+ remains more contested due to the narrow gap with leaders and typical model iteration timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$107,717Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Recent leaderboard data shows OpenAI’s strongest models, including GPT-6 Astra at 54.7% and GPT-5.4 Pro variants near 58%, trailing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (59.1–65%) and Opus 5 on Humanity’s Last Exam. The benchmark’s rapid climb from low teens in early 2026 to the mid-50s reflects scaling, reasoning scaffolds, and tool use across frontier labs. Traders price high odds for OpenAI clearing 50%+ and 55%+ by December 31, 2026, reflecting expected further releases and optimizations, while 60%+ remains more contested due to the narrow gap with leaders and typical model iteration timelines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Обсяг
$107,717Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent leaderboard data shows OpenAI’s strongest models, including GPT-6 Astra at 54.7% and GPT-5.4 Pro variants near 58%, trailing Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 (59.1–65%) and Opus 5 on Humanity’s Last Exam. The benchmark’s rapid climb from low teens in early 2026 to the mid-50s reflects scaling, reasoning scaffolds, and tool use across frontier labs. Traders price high odds for OpenAI clearing 50%+ and 55%+ by December 31, 2026, reflecting expected further releases and optimizations, while 60%+ remains more contested due to the narrow gap with leaders and typical model iteration timelines.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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