**A strong European heatwave in late June 2026 is driving trader focus on Amsterdam’s June 26 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustering around 34–37 °C.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate daytime highs reaching 34–37 °C (roughly 93–99 °F) under clear to scattered-cloud conditions, supported by southerly warm-air advection and high pressure suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Historical June averages near 19–21 °C underscore the anomaly, while the broader heatwave has already produced record-challenging temperatures elsewhere in Europe. Uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes (35 °C at 29 %, 36 °C at 19.5 %, 34 °C at 18.5 %) stems from small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated guidance from European meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 26?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on June 26?
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$104,580 Обс.
$104,580 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
33°C or below <1%
34°C <1%
35°C <1%
$104,580 Обс.
$104,580 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
33°C or below
$13,636 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$12,810 Обс.
<1%
35°C
$10,400 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$11,203 Обс.
100%
37°C
$19,444 Обс.
<1%
38°C
$6,233 Обс.
<1%
39°C
$6,397 Обс.
<1%
40°C
$5,269 Обс.
<1%
41°C
$5,907 Обс.
<1%
42°C
$10,142 Обс.
<1%
43°C or higher
$3,140 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong European heatwave in late June 2026 is driving trader focus on Amsterdam’s June 26 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustering around 34–37 °C.**
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate daytime highs reaching 34–37 °C (roughly 93–99 °F) under clear to scattered-cloud conditions, supported by southerly warm-air advection and high pressure suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Historical June averages near 19–21 °C underscore the anomaly, while the broader heatwave has already produced record-challenging temperatures elsewhere in Europe.
Uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes (35 °C at 29 %, 36 °C at 19.5 %, 34 °C at 18.5 %) stems from small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated guidance from European meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$104,580Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 1:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A strong European heatwave in late June 2026 is driving trader focus on Amsterdam’s June 26 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustering around 34–37 °C.**
Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate daytime highs reaching 34–37 °C (roughly 93–99 °F) under clear to scattered-cloud conditions, supported by southerly warm-air advection and high pressure suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Historical June averages near 19–21 °C underscore the anomaly, while the broader heatwave has already produced record-challenging temperatures elsewhere in Europe.
Uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes (35 °C at 29 %, 36 °C at 19.5 %, 34 °C at 18.5 %) stems from small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated guidance from European meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$104,580Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 1:05 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...**A strong European heatwave in late June 2026 is driving trader focus on Amsterdam’s June 26 maximum temperature, with market-implied odds clustering around 34–37 °C.** Official and ensemble forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather, timeanddate, and regional models indicate daytime highs reaching 34–37 °C (roughly 93–99 °F) under clear to scattered-cloud conditions, supported by southerly warm-air advection and high pressure suppressing cloud formation and allowing strong solar insolation. Historical June averages near 19–21 °C underscore the anomaly, while the broader heatwave has already produced record-challenging temperatures elsewhere in Europe. Uncertainty between the closely matched leading outcomes (35 °C at 29 %, 36 °C at 19.5 %, 34 °C at 18.5 %) stems from small differences in forecast timing of any weak frontal passage, boundary-layer mixing, or localized sea-breeze effects that could trim or boost the peak by 1–2 °C. New model runs and updated guidance from European meteorological agencies over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the range before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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