Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in NYC on June 26?
Highest temperature in NYC on June 26?
82-83°F 73%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$125,950 Обс.
$125,950 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
78%
84-85°F
28%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 73%
84-85°F 28%
86-87°F <1%
73°F or below <1%
$125,950 Обс.
$125,950 Обс.
Jun 26, 2026
73°F or below
$3,852 Обс.
<1%
74-75°F
$13,745 Обс.
<1%
76-77°F
$14,216 Обс.
<1%
78-79°F
$10,477 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$14,898 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$14,862 Обс.
78%
84-85°F
$15,089 Обс.
28%
86-87°F
$14,399 Обс.
<1%
88-89°F
$14,408 Обс.
<1%
90-91°F
$6,896 Обс.
<1%
92°F or higher
$3,269 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Обсяг
$125,950Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$125,950Дата завершення
Jun 26, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and private ensemble models converge on a high-pressure ridge supporting afternoon highs of 82–85°F in New York City on June 26, producing the near-even split between the 82–83°F (22%) and 84–85°F (25%) bins. Typical early-summer climatology for Central Park places the June daily maximum near 81–83°F, with modest day-to-day variability driven by boundary-layer mixing and weak onshore flow; current runs show no strong cold advection or convective cooling that would shift the outcome lower. Model spread remains limited at this short range, though small differences in timing of peak insolation or dew-point recovery could still move the verified high across bin boundaries before the National Weather Service issues its final observation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання