Forecast model consensus for Beijing on August 23 centers on 32–34°C amid late-summer transition, with global ensembles showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible scattered thundershowers tied to residual monsoon moisture. Clearer skies under a strengthening subtropical high would favor the upper end near 34°C through enhanced solar heating, while increased afternoon convection or easterly flow could cap readings at 32°C by limiting insolation and boosting evapotranspiration. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 30–32°C with a narrowing diurnal range, and official China Meteorological Administration guidance currently aligns with 32°C under overcast conditions. Traders weigh upcoming CMA and ECMWF runs, plus any urban heat-island amplification in central observations, as key variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
Highest temperature in Beijing on August 23?
33°C 34%
34°C 27%
32°C 26%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
10%
32°C
26%
33°C
34%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
5%
33°C 34%
34°C 27%
32°C 26%
31°C 10%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 23, 2026
27°C or below
$100 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$100 Обс.
1%
29°C
$0 Обс.
1%
30°C
$17 Обс.
4%
31°C
$19 Обс.
10%
32°C
$96 Обс.
26%
33°C
$153 Обс.
34%
34°C
$58 Обс.
27%
35°C
$53 Обс.
9%
36°C
$19 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$10 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus for Beijing on August 23 centers on 32–34°C amid late-summer transition, with global ensembles showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible scattered thundershowers tied to residual monsoon moisture. Clearer skies under a strengthening subtropical high would favor the upper end near 34°C through enhanced solar heating, while increased afternoon convection or easterly flow could cap readings at 32°C by limiting insolation and boosting evapotranspiration. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 30–32°C with a narrowing diurnal range, and official China Meteorological Administration guidance currently aligns with 32°C under overcast conditions. Traders weigh upcoming CMA and ECMWF runs, plus any urban heat-island amplification in central observations, as key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$626Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast model consensus for Beijing on August 23 centers on 32–34°C amid late-summer transition, with global ensembles showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible scattered thundershowers tied to residual monsoon moisture. Clearer skies under a strengthening subtropical high would favor the upper end near 34°C through enhanced solar heating, while increased afternoon convection or easterly flow could cap readings at 32°C by limiting insolation and boosting evapotranspiration. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 30–32°C with a narrowing diurnal range, and official China Meteorological Administration guidance currently aligns with 32°C under overcast conditions. Traders weigh upcoming CMA and ECMWF runs, plus any urban heat-island amplification in central observations, as key variables before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$626Дата завершення
Aug 23, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 21, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model consensus for Beijing on August 23 centers on 32–34°C amid late-summer transition, with global ensembles showing modest spread due to variable cloud cover and possible scattered thundershowers tied to residual monsoon moisture. Clearer skies under a strengthening subtropical high would favor the upper end near 34°C through enhanced solar heating, while increased afternoon convection or easterly flow could cap readings at 32°C by limiting insolation and boosting evapotranspiration. Historical climatology places late-August highs near 30–32°C with a narrowing diurnal range, and official China Meteorological Administration guidance currently aligns with 32°C under overcast conditions. Traders weigh upcoming CMA and ECMWF runs, plus any urban heat-island amplification in central observations, as key variables before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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