Recent official forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory project Beijing's overnight low near 22°C on August 21 amid thunderstorms, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows decline from 23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal overnight cooling under humid, cloudy conditions, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Thunderstorm timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could nudge readings slightly lower if clearer skies develop overnight, though current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 20°C or below. Traders' emphasis on these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction for this period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on August 21?
22°C 14%
18°C or below 2%
20°C 2%
21°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
14%
23°C
38%
24°C
63%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 14%
18°C or below 2%
20°C 2%
21°C 2%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
18°C or below
$40 Обс.
2%
19°C
$127 Обс.
1%
20°C
$92 Обс.
2%
21°C
$92 Обс.
2%
22°C
$87 Обс.
14%
23°C
$444 Обс.
38%
24°C
$168 Обс.
63%
25°C
$150 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$25 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$95 Обс.
<1%
28°C or higher
$95 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory project Beijing's overnight low near 22°C on August 21 amid thunderstorms, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows decline from 23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal overnight cooling under humid, cloudy conditions, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Thunderstorm timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could nudge readings slightly lower if clearer skies develop overnight, though current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 20°C or below. Traders' emphasis on these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction for this period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,416Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory project Beijing's overnight low near 22°C on August 21 amid thunderstorms, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows decline from 23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal overnight cooling under humid, cloudy conditions, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Thunderstorm timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could nudge readings slightly lower if clearer skies develop overnight, though current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 20°C or below. Traders' emphasis on these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction for this period.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,416Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 1:29 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies like the Hong Kong Observatory project Beijing's overnight low near 22°C on August 21 amid thunderstorms, aligning with late-August climatology where average lows decline from 23°C early in the month toward 20–21°C by month-end. Model consensus and recent observations show minimal overnight cooling under humid, cloudy conditions, positioning 23–24°C as the most probable range for the daily minimum. Thunderstorm timing and cloud cover remain key variables that could nudge readings slightly lower if clearer skies develop overnight, though current data indicate low likelihood of dropping to 20°C or below. Traders' emphasis on these outcomes reflects the narrow uncertainty band in short-range numerical weather prediction for this period.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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