Recent MetService and UK Met Office guidance points to a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on August 21 under a transitioning northwest flow and mostly fine conditions following earlier southerly outbreaks. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-average temperatures (45% probability) amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing polar intrusions. Trader consensus favoring 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 13°C (35.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty around afternoon insolation and wind timing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given stable steering patterns. Updated official station observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 21?
14°C 56%
13°C 36%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
36%
14°C
56%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 56%
13°C 36%
15°C 9%
12°C 3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
8°C or below
$261 Обс.
<1%
9°C
$354 Обс.
<1%
10°C
$356 Обс.
1%
11°C
$51 Обс.
1%
12°C
$281 Обс.
3%
13°C
$247 Обс.
36%
14°C
$477 Обс.
56%
15°C
$255 Обс.
9%
16°C
$52 Обс.
1%
17°C
$221 Обс.
<1%
18°C or higher
$181 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and UK Met Office guidance points to a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on August 21 under a transitioning northwest flow and mostly fine conditions following earlier southerly outbreaks. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-average temperatures (45% probability) amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing polar intrusions. Trader consensus favoring 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 13°C (35.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty around afternoon insolation and wind timing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given stable steering patterns. Updated official station observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,734Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService and UK Met Office guidance points to a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on August 21 under a transitioning northwest flow and mostly fine conditions following earlier southerly outbreaks. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-average temperatures (45% probability) amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing polar intrusions. Trader consensus favoring 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 13°C (35.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty around afternoon insolation and wind timing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given stable steering patterns. Updated official station observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,734Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent MetService and UK Met Office guidance points to a 13°C daytime maximum for Wellington on August 21 under a transitioning northwest flow and mostly fine conditions following earlier southerly outbreaks. This aligns with August climatology of 12–13°C highs and NIWA’s seasonal outlook favoring near-average temperatures (45% probability) amid a high-pressure ridge suppressing polar intrusions. Trader consensus favoring 14°C (55.5% implied probability) over 13°C (35.5%) reflects residual model uncertainty around afternoon insolation and wind timing, while lower outcomes remain unlikely given stable steering patterns. Updated official station observations at Wellington International Airport will determine resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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