Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles position 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 21, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns with sea-surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and local monitoring indicate sunny conditions with highs potentially reaching 30–31°C, yet model consensus and historical August baselines around 29°C support the market's emphasis on 27°C (52% implied probability) over higher outcomes. Moderate winds and stable atmospheric stability reduce intensification risks, while any shift in steering patterns could alter the peak. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming 48 hours remain key for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
27°C 53%
26°C 23%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
5%
26°C
23%
27°C
53%
28°C
16%
29°C
4%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 53%
26°C 23%
28°C 16%
25°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$216 Обс.
1%
23°C
$204 Обс.
1%
24°C
$27 Обс.
1%
25°C
$0 Обс.
5%
26°C
$1,663 Обс.
23%
27°C
$490 Обс.
53%
28°C
$182 Обс.
16%
29°C
$74 Обс.
4%
30°C
$135 Обс.
1%
31°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$34 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles position 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 21, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns with sea-surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and local monitoring indicate sunny conditions with highs potentially reaching 30–31°C, yet model consensus and historical August baselines around 29°C support the market's emphasis on 27°C (52% implied probability) over higher outcomes. Moderate winds and stable atmospheric stability reduce intensification risks, while any shift in steering patterns could alter the peak. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming 48 hours remain key for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,052Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles position 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 21, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns with sea-surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and local monitoring indicate sunny conditions with highs potentially reaching 30–31°C, yet model consensus and historical August baselines around 29°C support the market's emphasis on 27°C (52% implied probability) over higher outcomes. Moderate winds and stable atmospheric stability reduce intensification risks, while any shift in steering patterns could alter the peak. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming 48 hours remain key for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$3,052Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles position 27°C as the most probable daily maximum for Istanbul on August 21, reflecting typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns with sea-surface temperatures near 25°C and moderate northerly flow that limits daytime warming. Official forecasts from sources including timeanddate and local monitoring indicate sunny conditions with highs potentially reaching 30–31°C, yet model consensus and historical August baselines around 29°C support the market's emphasis on 27°C (52% implied probability) over higher outcomes. Moderate winds and stable atmospheric stability reduce intensification risks, while any shift in steering patterns could alter the peak. Updated model runs and official briefings in the coming 48 hours remain key for resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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