Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from AEMET and the UK Met Office indicates daytime maxima near 29–32 °C in Madrid on 21 August under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover. Clear skies allow strong daytime radiative heating at the surface, while subsidence warming in the boundary layer supports temperatures near late-August climatological norms of 29–31 °C. Minor ensemble spread in low-level moisture and diurnal timing keeps 31 °C the market favorite at 59.5 % implied probability, with 32 °C a close second. Official verification at Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the outcome, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer humidity could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Madrid on August 21?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 21?
31°C 60%
32°C 30%
30°C 9%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
$13,956 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,956 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
9%
31°C
60%
32°C
30%
33°C
5%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
31°C 60%
32°C 30%
30°C 9%
33°C 5%
НОВЕ
$13,956 Обс.
НОВЕ
$13,956 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
27°C or below
$747 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$806 Обс.
1%
29°C
$361 Обс.
1%
30°C
$2,174 Обс.
9%
31°C
$2,015 Обс.
60%
32°C
$2,878 Обс.
30%
33°C
$628 Обс.
5%
34°C
$1,068 Обс.
1%
35°C
$787 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$673 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,821 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from AEMET and the UK Met Office indicates daytime maxima near 29–32 °C in Madrid on 21 August under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover. Clear skies allow strong daytime radiative heating at the surface, while subsidence warming in the boundary layer supports temperatures near late-August climatological norms of 29–31 °C. Minor ensemble spread in low-level moisture and diurnal timing keeps 31 °C the market favorite at 59.5 % implied probability, with 32 °C a close second. Official verification at Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the outcome, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer humidity could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,956Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from AEMET and the UK Met Office indicates daytime maxima near 29–32 °C in Madrid on 21 August under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover. Clear skies allow strong daytime radiative heating at the surface, while subsidence warming in the boundary layer supports temperatures near late-August climatological norms of 29–31 °C. Minor ensemble spread in low-level moisture and diurnal timing keeps 31 °C the market favorite at 59.5 % implied probability, with 32 °C a close second. Official verification at Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the outcome, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer humidity could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$13,956Дата завершення
Aug 21, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction guidance from AEMET and the UK Met Office indicates daytime maxima near 29–32 °C in Madrid on 21 August under a stable high-pressure ridge with light southwesterly flow and minimal cloud cover. Clear skies allow strong daytime radiative heating at the surface, while subsidence warming in the boundary layer supports temperatures near late-August climatological norms of 29–31 °C. Minor ensemble spread in low-level moisture and diurnal timing keeps 31 °C the market favorite at 59.5 % implied probability, with 32 °C a close second. Official verification at Retiro or Barajas stations will resolve the outcome, and any last-minute shift in steering flow or boundary-layer humidity could nudge the peak by 1–2 °C.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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