Recent KMA short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% rain chances, while ensemble and global models cluster daily highs between 29–32°C amid lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. High humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure ridge suppresses nocturnal cooling and compresses the diurnal range, making the precise peak sensitive to afternoon cloud cover and any convective development. Urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan basin add 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Trader consensus around 29–30°C therefore reflects model spread on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture rather than large-scale pattern shifts, with updates from the next KMA briefing and 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs likely to refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 20?
30°C 30%
29°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
5%
28°C
18%
29°C
30%
30°C
30%
31°C
15%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
1%
30°C 30%
29°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 20, 2026
23°C or below
$296 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$289 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$173 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$83 Обс.
1%
27°C
$9 Обс.
5%
28°C
$20 Обс.
18%
29°C
$45 Обс.
30%
30°C
$94 Обс.
30%
31°C
$25 Обс.
15%
32°C
$71 Обс.
6%
33°C or higher
$5 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% rain chances, while ensemble and global models cluster daily highs between 29–32°C amid lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. High humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure ridge suppresses nocturnal cooling and compresses the diurnal range, making the precise peak sensitive to afternoon cloud cover and any convective development. Urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan basin add 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Trader consensus around 29–30°C therefore reflects model spread on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture rather than large-scale pattern shifts, with updates from the next KMA briefing and 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs likely to refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,109Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent KMA short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% rain chances, while ensemble and global models cluster daily highs between 29–32°C amid lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. High humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure ridge suppresses nocturnal cooling and compresses the diurnal range, making the precise peak sensitive to afternoon cloud cover and any convective development. Urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan basin add 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Trader consensus around 29–30°C therefore reflects model spread on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture rather than large-scale pattern shifts, with updates from the next KMA briefing and 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs likely to refine the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,109Дата завершення
Aug 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent KMA short-range guidance points to a maximum of 33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 20 under mostly cloudy skies with 20–30% rain chances, while ensemble and global models cluster daily highs between 29–32°C amid lingering East Asian monsoon moisture. High humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure ridge suppresses nocturnal cooling and compresses the diurnal range, making the precise peak sensitive to afternoon cloud cover and any convective development. Urban heat-island effects in the metropolitan basin add 1–2°C locally relative to rural baselines. Trader consensus around 29–30°C therefore reflects model spread on timing of any showers and boundary-layer moisture rather than large-scale pattern shifts, with updates from the next KMA briefing and 00Z GFS/ECMWF runs likely to refine the distribution before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання