Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer with morning clouds and afternoon sea breezes suppressing maximum temperatures in coastal Los Angeles, keeping readings near or slightly below seasonal norms around 75–77°F. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows limited warming potential on August 17 due to onshore flow and stable stratification, though slight clearing could allow brief afternoon peaks near 78–79°F. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of cloud dissipation determine the exact high. Historical August coastal averages near 78°F provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range absent a stronger offshore gradient. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official thermometer readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Los Angeles on August 17?
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 37%
80-81°F 11%
74-75°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 46%
76-77°F 37%
80-81°F 11%
74-75°F 6%
67°F or below
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
37%
78-79°F
46%
80-81°F
11%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
1%
86°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Джерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts highlight a persistent marine layer with morning clouds and afternoon sea breezes suppressing maximum temperatures in coastal Los Angeles, keeping readings near or slightly below seasonal norms around 75–77°F. Model consensus from the past 48 hours shows limited warming potential on August 17 due to onshore flow and stable stratification, though slight clearing could allow brief afternoon peaks near 78–79°F. These conditions align with the closely matched market-implied probabilities for 76–77°F and 78–79°F bins, where small differences in boundary-layer mixing or timing of cloud dissipation determine the exact high. Historical August coastal averages near 78°F provide context, but current synoptic patterns favor the lower end of that range absent a stronger offshore gradient. Updated model runs and afternoon observations will refine resolution criteria tied to official thermometer readings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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