Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models on TimeandDate point to persistent cloud cover and light monsoon moisture as the main driver keeping Karachi's August 18 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's 50.5% and 27.5% implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon circulation sustains high humidity and reduces direct solar heating, while light winds limit extreme daytime warming typical of pre-monsoon periods. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with occasional showers further capping peaks, making 31°C and 34°C less favored at 16.5% and 5%. Updated model runs show minimal deviation expected in the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 18?
32°C 51%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
4%
31°C
16%
32°C
51%
33°C
28%
34°C
5%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 51%
33°C 28%
31°C 16%
34°C 5%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 18, 2026
27°C or below
$161 Обс.
<1%
28°C
$47 Обс.
1%
29°C
$364 Обс.
1%
30°C
$67 Обс.
4%
31°C
$175 Обс.
16%
32°C
$353 Обс.
51%
33°C
$71 Обс.
28%
34°C
$100 Обс.
5%
35°C
$15 Обс.
<1%
36°C
$33 Обс.
<1%
37°C or higher
$145 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models on TimeandDate point to persistent cloud cover and light monsoon moisture as the main driver keeping Karachi's August 18 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's 50.5% and 27.5% implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon circulation sustains high humidity and reduces direct solar heating, while light winds limit extreme daytime warming typical of pre-monsoon periods. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with occasional showers further capping peaks, making 31°C and 34°C less favored at 16.5% and 5%. Updated model runs show minimal deviation expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,530Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models on TimeandDate point to persistent cloud cover and light monsoon moisture as the main driver keeping Karachi's August 18 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's 50.5% and 27.5% implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon circulation sustains high humidity and reduces direct solar heating, while light winds limit extreme daytime warming typical of pre-monsoon periods. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with occasional showers further capping peaks, making 31°C and 34°C less favored at 16.5% and 5%. Updated model runs show minimal deviation expected in the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,530Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like the Pakistan Meteorological Department and models on TimeandDate point to persistent cloud cover and light monsoon moisture as the main driver keeping Karachi's August 18 high near 32–33°C, aligning with the market's 50.5% and 27.5% implied probabilities. The southwest monsoon circulation sustains high humidity and reduces direct solar heating, while light winds limit extreme daytime warming typical of pre-monsoon periods. Historical August averages hover around 31–32°C, with occasional showers further capping peaks, making 31°C and 34°C less favored at 16.5% and 5%. Updated model runs show minimal deviation expected in the next 48 hours.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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