Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory highlight increasing thunderstorm activity and cloud cover moderating peak daytime heating, positioning 33°C as the consensus high for August 16 with 43.5% market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture influx and weakening high-pressure systems favor convective development that caps temperatures near climatological August averages of 32–33°C, while limiting extreme heat seen earlier in the month. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima around this threshold, though slight variations in steering patterns or rainfall timing could shift outcomes toward 32°C or 34°C. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical analogs of South China summer variability ahead of the next official forecast updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 16?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on August 16?
33°C 44%
34°C 25%
32°C 17%
31°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
7%
32°C
17%
33°C
44%
34°C
25%
35°C
6%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 44%
34°C 25%
32°C 17%
31°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$632 Обс.
1%
28°C
$300 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$372 Обс.
1%
30°C
$329 Обс.
2%
31°C
$375 Обс.
7%
32°C
$324 Обс.
17%
33°C
$805 Обс.
44%
34°C
$259 Обс.
25%
35°C
$767 Обс.
6%
36°C
$1,195 Обс.
2%
37°C or higher
$197 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory highlight increasing thunderstorm activity and cloud cover moderating peak daytime heating, positioning 33°C as the consensus high for August 16 with 43.5% market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture influx and weakening high-pressure systems favor convective development that caps temperatures near climatological August averages of 32–33°C, while limiting extreme heat seen earlier in the month. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima around this threshold, though slight variations in steering patterns or rainfall timing could shift outcomes toward 32°C or 34°C. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical analogs of South China summer variability ahead of the next official forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,555Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory highlight increasing thunderstorm activity and cloud cover moderating peak daytime heating, positioning 33°C as the consensus high for August 16 with 43.5% market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture influx and weakening high-pressure systems favor convective development that caps temperatures near climatological August averages of 32–33°C, while limiting extreme heat seen earlier in the month. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima around this threshold, though slight variations in steering patterns or rainfall timing could shift outcomes toward 32°C or 34°C. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical analogs of South China summer variability ahead of the next official forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$5,555Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory highlight increasing thunderstorm activity and cloud cover moderating peak daytime heating, positioning 33°C as the consensus high for August 16 with 43.5% market-implied odds. Subtropical moisture influx and weakening high-pressure systems favor convective development that caps temperatures near climatological August averages of 32–33°C, while limiting extreme heat seen earlier in the month. Model consensus points to afternoon maxima around this threshold, though slight variations in steering patterns or rainfall timing could shift outcomes toward 32°C or 34°C. Traders weigh these dynamics against historical analogs of South China summer variability ahead of the next official forecast updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання