Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in London on August 15?
Highest temperature in London on August 15?
26°C 32%
27°C 27%
25°C 19%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
19%
26°C
32%
27°C
27%
28°C
11%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
27°C 27%
25°C 19%
28°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$368 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$22 Обс.
1%
22°C
$30 Обс.
1%
23°C
$64 Обс.
2%
24°C
$169 Обс.
8%
25°C
$140 Обс.
19%
26°C
$341 Обс.
32%
27°C
$282 Обс.
27%
28°C
$261 Обс.
11%
29°C
$185 Обс.
3%
30°C or higher
$296 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,903Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,903Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:55 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the Met Office and European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts show London daytime maxima likely reaching 26–27°C on August 15 under high pressure, light westerly winds, and mostly clear skies that limit cloud cover and enhance solar heating. These conditions favor the market's leading outcomes, with minor spread reflecting uncertainty in exact timing of any Atlantic frontal approaches or urban heat island effects. Historical August averages near 22–23°C provide context, but recent model runs indicate slightly above-normal temperatures without strong jet stream influence. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine probabilities ahead of resolution based on official observed highs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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