Recent forecasts from major meteorological models, including those aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 15 under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns closely with long-term August averages near 27–28°C, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification observed in the latest runs. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.4% for 27°C reflects traders' confidence in these stable patterns and the low likelihood of deviations. Resolution depends on official station readings, where minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could theoretically alter the peak by 1°C, though current data make such outcomes remote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 15?
27°C 99.4%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$34,123 Обс.
$34,123 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
99%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.4%
29°C <1%
28°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
$34,123 Обс.
$34,123 Обс.
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$433 Обс.
<1%
23°C
$1,081 Обс.
<1%
24°C
$2,710 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$5,101 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$10,828 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$6,665 Обс.
99%
28°C
$3,770 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$2,509 Обс.
1%
30°C
$313 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$342 Обс.
<1%
32°C or higher
$372 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological models, including those aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 15 under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns closely with long-term August averages near 27–28°C, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification observed in the latest runs. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.4% for 27°C reflects traders' confidence in these stable patterns and the low likelihood of deviations. Resolution depends on official station readings, where minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could theoretically alter the peak by 1°C, though current data make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,123Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from major meteorological models, including those aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 15 under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns closely with long-term August averages near 27–28°C, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification observed in the latest runs. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.4% for 27°C reflects traders' confidence in these stable patterns and the low likelihood of deviations. Resolution depends on official station readings, where minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could theoretically alter the peak by 1°C, though current data make such outcomes remote.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$34,123Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from major meteorological models, including those aligned with the Turkish State Meteorological Service, have converged on a daily maximum of 27°C for Istanbul on August 15 under typical summer high-pressure conditions and moderate northerly flow. This aligns closely with long-term August averages near 27–28°C, with no significant heat advection or clear-sky amplification observed in the latest runs. The overwhelming market consensus at 99.4% for 27°C reflects traders' confidence in these stable patterns and the low likelihood of deviations. Resolution depends on official station readings, where minor timing shifts in cloud cover or wind could theoretically alter the peak by 1°C, though current data make such outcomes remote.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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