Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 15, 2026, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where overnight lows in urban areas often stabilize near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions. Market-implied odds reflect this verified reading from authoritative monitoring stations, with traders converging on the outcome based on real-time data rather than forecasts. Minor variations across sites, such as slightly higher values in sheltered locations, remain within normal observational ranges and do not alter the threshold. A data revision from the primary reporting agency or an unusually localized cooling event could shift resolution, though both remain low-probability given established measurement protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 15?
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,349 Обс.
$44,349 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
25°C <1%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
$44,349 Обс.
$44,349 Обс.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a minimum air temperature of 26°C on August 15, 2026, aligning with typical mid-August climatology where overnight lows in urban areas often stabilize near 26–28°C under humid subtropical conditions. Market-implied odds reflect this verified reading from authoritative monitoring stations, with traders converging on the outcome based on real-time data rather than forecasts. Minor variations across sites, such as slightly higher values in sheltered locations, remain within normal observational ranges and do not alter the threshold. A data revision from the primary reporting agency or an unusually localized cooling event could shift resolution, though both remain low-probability given established measurement protocols.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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