Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily high near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 17, aligning with the market's dominant outcomes and typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observational trends show stable temperatures consistent with August climatology (historical highs averaging 27–29°C), with limited deviation expected absent major synoptic shifts. Model consensus supports this narrow range while acknowledging spread from variable cloud cover or wind patterns that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as new data arrives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on August 17?
26°C 53%
27°C 30%
25°C 9%
28°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
9%
26°C
53%
27°C
30%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 53%
27°C 30%
25°C 9%
28°C 6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 17, 2026
21°C or below
$274 Обс.
<1%
22°C
$74 Обс.
1%
23°C
$100 Обс.
1%
24°C
$65 Обс.
2%
25°C
$44 Обс.
9%
26°C
$202 Обс.
53%
27°C
$213 Обс.
30%
28°C
$134 Обс.
6%
29°C
$153 Обс.
2%
30°C
$315 Обс.
1%
31°C or higher
$1,004 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily high near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 17, aligning with the market's dominant outcomes and typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observational trends show stable temperatures consistent with August climatology (historical highs averaging 27–29°C), with limited deviation expected absent major synoptic shifts. Model consensus supports this narrow range while acknowledging spread from variable cloud cover or wind patterns that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as new data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,578Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily high near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 17, aligning with the market's dominant outcomes and typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observational trends show stable temperatures consistent with August climatology (historical highs averaging 27–29°C), with limited deviation expected absent major synoptic shifts. Model consensus supports this narrow range while acknowledging spread from variable cloud cover or wind patterns that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as new data arrives.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$2,578Дата завершення
Aug 17, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international ensembles currently project a daily high near 26–27°C for Istanbul on August 17, aligning with the market's dominant outcomes and typical late-summer conditions under moderate high pressure and sea-breeze moderation. Recent observational trends show stable temperatures consistent with August climatology (historical highs averaging 27–29°C), with limited deviation expected absent major synoptic shifts. Model consensus supports this narrow range while acknowledging spread from variable cloud cover or wind patterns that could nudge the maximum slightly higher or lower. Updated runs ahead of resolution will refine these probabilities as new data arrives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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