Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C amid stable late-summer conditions, with cloudy skies and light northwest winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging around 22°C and a narrow ensemble spread showing peaks mostly between 23–26°C, reducing odds of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24% for 25°C, incorporates typical model resolution based on official station observations ahead of the next update cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 16?
24°C 42%
25°C 24%
23°C 20%
22°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
20%
24°C
42%
25°C
24%
26°C
7%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 42%
25°C 24%
23°C 20%
22°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 16, 2026
20°C or below
$1,276 Обс.
1%
21°C
$785 Обс.
2%
22°C
$497 Обс.
7%
23°C
$1,610 Обс.
20%
24°C
$557 Обс.
42%
25°C
$1,364 Обс.
24%
26°C
$801 Обс.
7%
27°C
$295 Обс.
2%
28°C
$494 Обс.
<1%
29°C
$1,095 Обс.
<1%
30°C or higher
$308 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C amid stable late-summer conditions, with cloudy skies and light northwest winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging around 22°C and a narrow ensemble spread showing peaks mostly between 23–26°C, reducing odds of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24% for 25°C, incorporates typical model resolution based on official station observations ahead of the next update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,083Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C amid stable late-summer conditions, with cloudy skies and light northwest winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging around 22°C and a narrow ensemble spread showing peaks mostly between 23–26°C, reducing odds of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24% for 25°C, incorporates typical model resolution based on official station observations ahead of the next update cycle.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$9,083Дата завершення
Aug 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting ECMWF/GFS ensembles place Moscow's August 16 maximum near 24–25°C amid stable late-summer conditions, with cloudy skies and light northwest winds limiting daytime heating. This aligns with climatological August highs averaging around 22°C and a narrow ensemble spread showing peaks mostly between 23–26°C, reducing odds of extremes above 27°C or below 22°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for 24°C and 24% for 25°C, incorporates typical model resolution based on official station observations ahead of the next update cycle.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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