Recent model consensus and observational trends position 29–30°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Shanghai on August 15, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderating influences from onshore flow and possible cloud cover. Historical climatology shows mid-August daytime maxima averaging near 31°C, yet current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a slight cooling relative to peak July heat, keeping daily highs below 32°C with low odds of extremes. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as short-range ensemble runs emphasize stable steering patterns and high humidity that limit rapid warming, while noting that any shift in the subtropical ridge could push readings higher before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
3%
28°C
14%
29°C
47%
30°C
26%
31°C
12%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 47%
30°C 26%
28°C 14%
31°C 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
25°C or below
$185 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$33 Обс.
1%
27°C
$456 Обс.
3%
28°C
$643 Обс.
14%
29°C
$1,532 Обс.
47%
30°C
$783 Обс.
26%
31°C
$707 Обс.
12%
32°C
$149 Обс.
5%
33°C
$82 Обс.
1%
34°C
$314 Обс.
<1%
35°C or higher
$49 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends position 29–30°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Shanghai on August 15, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderating influences from onshore flow and possible cloud cover. Historical climatology shows mid-August daytime maxima averaging near 31°C, yet current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a slight cooling relative to peak July heat, keeping daily highs below 32°C with low odds of extremes. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as short-range ensemble runs emphasize stable steering patterns and high humidity that limit rapid warming, while noting that any shift in the subtropical ridge could push readings higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,805Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus and observational trends position 29–30°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Shanghai on August 15, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderating influences from onshore flow and possible cloud cover. Historical climatology shows mid-August daytime maxima averaging near 31°C, yet current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a slight cooling relative to peak July heat, keeping daily highs below 32°C with low odds of extremes. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as short-range ensemble runs emphasize stable steering patterns and high humidity that limit rapid warming, while noting that any shift in the subtropical ridge could push readings higher before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,805Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus and observational trends position 29–30°C as the most probable peak temperature range for Shanghai on August 15, reflecting typical late-summer subtropical conditions with moderating influences from onshore flow and possible cloud cover. Historical climatology shows mid-August daytime maxima averaging near 31°C, yet current forecasts from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a slight cooling relative to peak July heat, keeping daily highs below 32°C with low odds of extremes. Trader positioning aligns with this evidence-based outlook, as short-range ensemble runs emphasize stable steering patterns and high humidity that limit rapid warming, while noting that any shift in the subtropical ridge could push readings higher before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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