Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity through mid-August, moderating overnight radiative cooling and positioning the lowest temperature on August 15 near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, typical for the region, sustain elevated nighttime minima around the climatological average of 25–26°C, with model runs showing limited diurnal temperature swings due to moisture and lack of clear skies. No typhoon or cold-air intrusion is expected to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes while allowing for minor forecast revisions from updated NHC or CMA guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 15?
26°C 50%
27°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
5%
22°C
7%
23°C
6%
24°C
6%
25°C
13%
26°C
50%
27°C
32%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C or higher
1%
26°C 50%
27°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 15, 2026
20°C or below
$170 Обс.
<1%
21°C
$12 Обс.
5%
22°C
$12 Обс.
7%
23°C
$43 Обс.
6%
24°C
$0 Обс.
6%
25°C
$11 Обс.
13%
26°C
$22 Обс.
50%
27°C
$78 Обс.
32%
28°C
$0 Обс.
5%
29°C
$12 Обс.
7%
30°C or higher
$12 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity through mid-August, moderating overnight radiative cooling and positioning the lowest temperature on August 15 near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, typical for the region, sustain elevated nighttime minima around the climatological average of 25–26°C, with model runs showing limited diurnal temperature swings due to moisture and lack of clear skies. No typhoon or cold-air intrusion is expected to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes while allowing for minor forecast revisions from updated NHC or CMA guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity through mid-August, moderating overnight radiative cooling and positioning the lowest temperature on August 15 near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, typical for the region, sustain elevated nighttime minima around the climatological average of 25–26°C, with model runs showing limited diurnal temperature swings due to moisture and lack of clear skies. No typhoon or cold-air intrusion is expected to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes while allowing for minor forecast revisions from updated NHC or CMA guidance.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Aug 15, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shanghai indicate persistent cloud cover, thunderstorms, and high humidity through mid-August, moderating overnight radiative cooling and positioning the lowest temperature on August 15 near 26–27°C. Subtropical monsoon conditions, typical for the region, sustain elevated nighttime minima around the climatological average of 25–26°C, with model runs showing limited diurnal temperature swings due to moisture and lack of clear skies. No typhoon or cold-air intrusion is expected to alter this pattern in the next 48 hours, supporting the market's heavy weighting toward these outcomes while allowing for minor forecast revisions from updated NHC or CMA guidance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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