**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13 centers on mid-to-upper 30s Celsius outcomes, with 37°C holding the clearest lead at 45% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts showing daytime maxima typically 30–36°C in mid-August, occasionally pushed higher by urban heat retention and humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions. Recent guidance indicates potential for 34–36°C peaks on the 13th amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, consistent with historical late-summer baselines where extremes above 38°C remain less common without a strong heat ridge. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture from the East Asian monsoon that could suppress or enhance temperatures. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely drive further adjustments in these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13?
37°C 47%
38°C 27%
36°C 22%
35°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
22%
37°C
47%
38°C
27%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 47%
38°C 27%
36°C 22%
35°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$223 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$155 Обс.
1%
34°C
$321 Обс.
2%
35°C
$149 Обс.
4%
36°C
$253 Обс.
22%
37°C
$2,117 Обс.
47%
38°C
$401 Обс.
27%
39°C
$276 Обс.
4%
40°C
$247 Обс.
3%
41°C
$127 Обс.
1%
42°C or higher
$112 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13 centers on mid-to-upper 30s Celsius outcomes, with 37°C holding the clearest lead at 45% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts showing daytime maxima typically 30–36°C in mid-August, occasionally pushed higher by urban heat retention and humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions. Recent guidance indicates potential for 34–36°C peaks on the 13th amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, consistent with historical late-summer baselines where extremes above 38°C remain less common without a strong heat ridge. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture from the East Asian monsoon that could suppress or enhance temperatures. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely drive further adjustments in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,381Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13 centers on mid-to-upper 30s Celsius outcomes, with 37°C holding the clearest lead at 45% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts showing daytime maxima typically 30–36°C in mid-August, occasionally pushed higher by urban heat retention and humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions. Recent guidance indicates potential for 34–36°C peaks on the 13th amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, consistent with historical late-summer baselines where extremes above 38°C remain less common without a strong heat ridge. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture from the East Asian monsoon that could suppress or enhance temperatures. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely drive further adjustments in these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$4,381Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the highest temperature in Chengdu on August 13 centers on mid-to-upper 30s Celsius outcomes, with 37°C holding the clearest lead at 45% implied probability.** This reflects model consensus from sources like AccuWeather and regional forecasts showing daytime maxima typically 30–36°C in mid-August, occasionally pushed higher by urban heat retention and humidity under subtropical monsoon conditions. Recent guidance indicates potential for 34–36°C peaks on the 13th amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, consistent with historical late-summer baselines where extremes above 38°C remain less common without a strong heat ridge. Key variables include any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or moisture from the East Asian monsoon that could suppress or enhance temperatures. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official China Meteorological Administration briefings ahead of the date will likely drive further adjustments in these market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання