Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 through strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus around these leading outcomes reflects minor spread across runs, primarily from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could cap the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has trended slightly warmer as surface observations confirm building heat. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Munich on August 13?
Highest temperature in Munich on August 13?
30°C 41%
31°C 39%
29°C 13%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
13%
30°C
41%
31°C
39%
32°C
9%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
30°C 41%
31°C 39%
29°C 13%
32°C 9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
24°C or below
$101 Обс.
<1%
25°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
26°C
$23 Обс.
<1%
27°C
$19 Обс.
1%
28°C
$47 Обс.
3%
29°C
$167 Обс.
13%
30°C
$536 Обс.
41%
31°C
$200 Обс.
39%
32°C
$559 Обс.
9%
33°C
$128 Обс.
2%
34°C or higher
$93 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 through strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus around these leading outcomes reflects minor spread across runs, primarily from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could cap the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has trended slightly warmer as surface observations confirm building heat. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,900Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 through strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus around these leading outcomes reflects minor spread across runs, primarily from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could cap the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has trended slightly warmer as surface observations confirm building heat. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$1,900Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from major models indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Germany, supporting daytime maxima near 30–31°C in Munich on August 13 through strong solar insolation and minimal cloud cover. Trader consensus around these leading outcomes reflects minor spread across runs, primarily from differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing, local wind speeds, and the precise timing of any weak frontal passage that could cap the peak by 1–2°C. Historical August averages near 25°C provide context, yet recent model guidance has trended slightly warmer as surface observations confirm building heat. Updated DWD and ECMWF runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely refine these narrow probabilities ahead of resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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