Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Paris on August 13?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 13?
38°C 65%
37°C 15%
39°C 14%
36°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37°C
15%
38°C
65%
39°C
14%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
38°C 65%
37°C 15%
39°C 14%
36°C 4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 13, 2026
32°C or below
$398 Обс.
<1%
33°C
$84 Обс.
<1%
34°C
$544 Обс.
1%
35°C
$119 Обс.
2%
36°C
$646 Обс.
4%
37°C
$1,349 Обс.
15%
38°C
$2,099 Обс.
65%
39°C
$171 Обс.
14%
40°C
$75 Обс.
3%
41°C
$214 Обс.
1%
42°C or higher
$342 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,043Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$6,043Дата завершення
Aug 13, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 11, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and European models position 38°C as the leading outcome for Paris's August 13 high amid an ongoing heatwave, with 35–39°C ranges expected across northern France under a strong high-pressure ridge and southerly advection of warmer air masses. Model consensus highlights limited overnight cooling due to urban heat retention and minimal cloud cover, supporting trader emphasis on the 37–39°C band that accounts for over 90% of implied probability. Updated guidance through August 11 notes potential for localized 40°C readings farther south but slightly lower peaks in the Paris basin, with any last-minute shifts in steering patterns or convective development likely to determine final resolution within the narrow 36–39°C window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання