Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 11 project a high near 70°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool Pacific that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as typical August climatology yields highs around 69°F with limited inland heat advection. Recent model consensus shows a cooling trend through midweek, keeping most scenarios in the upper 60s to low 70s and reducing chances for 72°F-plus readings. Traders weigh these stable coastal conditions against minor forecast variability in the marine layer depth.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in San Francisco on August 11?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on August 11?
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 7%
НОВЕ
$15,013 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,013 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
3%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
42%
72-73°F
23%
74-75°F
7%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F or higher
<1%
70-71°F 42%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 23%
74-75°F 7%
НОВЕ
$15,013 Обс.
НОВЕ
$15,013 Обс.
Aug 11, 2026
65°F or below
$2,196 Обс.
1%
66-67°F
$2,123 Обс.
3%
68-69°F
$1,880 Обс.
25%
70-71°F
$1,877 Обс.
42%
72-73°F
$1,312 Обс.
23%
74-75°F
$983 Обс.
7%
76-77°F
$646 Обс.
1%
78-79°F
$578 Обс.
<1%
80-81°F
$2,407 Обс.
<1%
82-83°F
$545 Обс.
<1%
84°F or higher
$466 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 11 project a high near 70°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool Pacific that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as typical August climatology yields highs around 69°F with limited inland heat advection. Recent model consensus shows a cooling trend through midweek, keeping most scenarios in the upper 60s to low 70s and reducing chances for 72°F-plus readings. Traders weigh these stable coastal conditions against minor forecast variability in the marine layer depth.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,013Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 11 project a high near 70°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool Pacific that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as typical August climatology yields highs around 69°F with limited inland heat advection. Recent model consensus shows a cooling trend through midweek, keeping most scenarios in the upper 60s to low 70s and reducing chances for 72°F-plus readings. Traders weigh these stable coastal conditions against minor forecast variability in the marine layer depth.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Обсяг
$15,013Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official National Weather Service forecasts for San Francisco on August 11 project a high near 70°F, driven by a persistent marine layer and strong onshore flow from the cool Pacific that suppresses afternoon warming. This aligns with the market's leading 70-71°F outcome at 42% implied probability, as typical August climatology yields highs around 69°F with limited inland heat advection. Recent model consensus shows a cooling trend through midweek, keeping most scenarios in the upper 60s to low 70s and reducing chances for 72°F-plus readings. Traders weigh these stable coastal conditions against minor forecast variability in the marine layer depth.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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