Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show a lingering heatwave with urban highs near 34–35°C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C because convective showers or increased cloud cover on August 11 could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while drier conditions or urban heat-island effects support the upper end. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but the current above-normal seasonal outlook and recent 34.7°C readings elevate near-term probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the maximum-temperature outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 11?
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
11%
34°C
30%
35°C
36%
36°C
20%
37°C
8%
38°C
2%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
35°C 36%
34°C 30%
36°C 20%
33°C 11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Aug 11, 2026
30°C or below
$102 Обс.
<1%
31°C
$85 Обс.
<1%
32°C
$247 Обс.
1%
33°C
$104 Обс.
11%
34°C
$488 Обс.
30%
35°C
$182 Обс.
36%
36°C
$80 Обс.
20%
37°C
$709 Обс.
8%
38°C
$1,233 Обс.
2%
39°C
$27 Обс.
<1%
40°C or higher
$42 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show a lingering heatwave with urban highs near 34–35°C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C because convective showers or increased cloud cover on August 11 could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while drier conditions or urban heat-island effects support the upper end. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but the current above-normal seasonal outlook and recent 34.7°C readings elevate near-term probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the maximum-temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,297Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show a lingering heatwave with urban highs near 34–35°C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C because convective showers or increased cloud cover on August 11 could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while drier conditions or urban heat-island effects support the upper end. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but the current above-normal seasonal outlook and recent 34.7°C readings elevate near-term probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the maximum-temperature outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$3,297Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models show a lingering heatwave with urban highs near 34–35°C, driven by a strong subtropical ridge promoting subsidence and clear to partly cloudy skies. Trader consensus clusters on 34–36°C because convective showers or increased cloud cover on August 11 could cap daytime heating by reducing solar insolation, while drier conditions or urban heat-island effects support the upper end. Historical August maxima average around 31–32°C, but the current above-normal seasonal outlook and recent 34.7°C readings elevate near-term probabilities. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will refine the maximum-temperature outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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